{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b47b6d63-0238-4fdf-9073-34054e797bef",
    "symbol": "HANA",
    "name": "Hansa Investment Company Limited",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 54.483,
    "architecture_energy": 38.964,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.382,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.156,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.41,
        "rotation_up": 37.97,
        "upward_expansion": 65.08,
        "deceleration": 88.2,
        "rotation_down": 27.14,
        "downward_expansion": 17.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        316.133333,
        316.692607,
        310.53943,
        302.396704
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 321.0,
    "trend_reference": 292.600623,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.097058,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 234.265297,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.370241,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.163832,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.180147,
    "excess_performance": 0.128912,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097058,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069316,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.370241,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0892,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061638,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034123,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.180147,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.843935,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 227547,
      "relative_activity": 0.395626,
      "balance": 1.843935,
      "dry_up": 0.647446,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035157,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.158411,
      "from_high_reference": -0.024316,
      "from_low_reference": 0.315574
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 292.600623,
      "fair_value_reference": 234.265297,
      "structural_low": 264.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.013855,
        "positive_rate": 0.818182,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.818182,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001779,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.165468,
        "worst_return": -0.027344,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.054688,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.010111,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.18659,
        "worst_return": 0.039842,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.118549,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.060704,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.119489,
        "worst_return": 0.070312,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.212314,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.073145,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.212314,
        "worst_return": 0.212314,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-05",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.079645,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.087963,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.153889,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.017474,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.102222,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.089148,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.036036,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.096491,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.015873,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.039062,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.007491,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.063433,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.025559,
        "active": true
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 653685.55,
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        "fair_value": 231.821872,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 638470.3,
        "trend": 289.36729,
        "fair_value": 232.585072,
        "relative_strength": 4.339375,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 47.174411,
        "energy": 43.661376,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 313.0,
        "volume": 503969,
        "typical_volume": 631315.85,
        "trend": 290.900623,
        "fair_value": 233.393135,
        "relative_strength": 4.021336,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.335,
        "energy": 36.461079,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 321.0,
        "volume": 227547,
        "typical_volume": 575156.95,
        "trend": 292.600623,
        "fair_value": 234.265297,
        "relative_strength": 6.163832,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.483348,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}