{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b492efb8-db33-48f8-b7b9-ada959f0db10", "symbol": "BCFB", "name": "UBS MSCI Pacific ex Japan IMI Socially Responsible UCITS ETF USD acc", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 84.806, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 93.172, "architecture_energy": 95.639, "architecture_maturity": 15.609, "architecture_confidence": 68.826, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.87, "rotation_up": 88.38, "upward_expansion": 99.9, "deceleration": 39.03, "rotation_down": 8.57, "downward_expansion": 21.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.254667, 18.010255, 17.739772, 17.591028 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 18.666, "trend_reference": 17.443067, "distance_from_trend": 0.07011, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.575474, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.198423, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.110162, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.082464, "excess_performance": 0.017824, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.07011, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025118, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.198423, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053397, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.011102, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023597, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.082464, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.550733, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2702, "relative_activity": 1.296048, "balance": 1.550733, "dry_up": 1.308639, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01608, "annualized_volatility": 0.118419, "from_high_reference": -0.000214, "from_low_reference": 0.158947 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.443067, "fair_value_reference": 15.575474, "structural_low": 16.393999, "invalidation": "A 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15.484128, "relative_strength": 3.605441, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.957054, "energy": 78.594791, "activity_lines": [ 17.81, 17.634, 17.485267, 17.408151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.034, "volume": 127, "typical_volume": 1811.0, "trend": 17.330733, "fair_value": 15.510859, "relative_strength": 2.583624, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.223789, "energy": 81.867135, "activity_lines": [ 17.9064, 17.728182, 17.551438, 17.456465 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.134001, "volume": 6015, "typical_volume": 2038.8, "trend": 17.383533, "fair_value": 15.540808, "relative_strength": 0.958828, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.479867, "energy": 83.839371, "activity_lines": [ 18.009067, 17.828146, 17.622905, 17.508288 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.666, "volume": 2702, "typical_volume": 2084.8, "trend": 17.443067, "fair_value": 15.575474, "relative_strength": 1.110162, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.171929, "energy": 95.638677, "activity_lines": [ 18.254667, 18.010255, 17.739772, 17.591028 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }