{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b493d0ae-1623-4b94-a564-6ea5662bd6a7", "symbol": "603669", "name": "Lionco Pharmaceutical Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.442, "architecture_energy": 44.605, "architecture_maturity": 63.992, "architecture_confidence": 76.444, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.1, "rotation_up": 55.86, "upward_expansion": 78.63, "deceleration": 68.61, "rotation_down": 20.61, "downward_expansion": 5.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.789333, 5.712727, 5.242429, 5.042151 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.21, "trend_reference": 4.852667, "distance_from_trend": 0.279709, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.027692, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.235159, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 22.310109, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.361842, "excess_performance": 0.405046, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.279709, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024923, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.235159, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.329983, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.223101, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.420164, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.361842, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.679252, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 107917294, "relative_activity": 1.021405, "balance": 2.679252, "dry_up": 2.227853, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.12387, "annualized_volatility": 0.600627, "from_high_reference": -0.260714, "from_low_reference": 0.548628 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.852667, "fair_value_reference": 5.027692, "structural_low": 4.01, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.039202, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.038633, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.399671, "worst_return": -0.439483, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.110037, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.162062, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.047472, "worst_return": -0.426829, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.162904, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.196251, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.004128, "worst_return": -0.199013, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"trend": 4.765, "fair_value": 5.014295, "relative_strength": 34.108588, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.628177, "energy": 91.122708, "activity_lines": [ 6.124, 5.513091, 5.044714, 4.898022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.97, "volume": 229946704, "typical_volume": 93210959.55, "trend": 4.773333, "fair_value": 5.016987, "relative_strength": 0.692303, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.533252, "energy": 72.561485, "activity_lines": [ 5.83, 5.492909, 5.060476, 4.911247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.39, "volume": 208058614, "typical_volume": 101894233.15, "trend": 4.797667, "fair_value": 5.020705, "relative_strength": 9.095322, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.628256, "energy": 45.098486, "activity_lines": [ 5.668, 5.538182, 5.114333, 4.951032 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.21, "volume": 107917294, "typical_volume": 105655714.2, "trend": 4.852667, "fair_value": 5.027692, "relative_strength": 22.310109, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.44176, "energy": 44.604703, "activity_lines": [ 5.789333, 5.712727, 5.242429, 5.042151 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }