{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b497a9fa-6618-4d1e-8caa-b56ae6e523c1", "symbol": "JBMA", "name": "JBM Auto Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 50.782, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 30.767, "architecture_energy": 21.752, "architecture_maturity": 58.758, "architecture_confidence": 84.275, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.0, "rotation_up": 22.63, "upward_expansion": 54.97, "deceleration": 90.84, "rotation_down": 31.36, "downward_expansion": 18.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 658.453337, 672.634543, 664.266902, 643.072902 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 648.650024, "trend_reference": 616.351666, "distance_from_trend": 0.052402, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 737.91037, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.120964, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.382491, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.11711, "excess_performance": 0.160819, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.052402, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037906, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.120964, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012005, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.043825, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031491, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.11711, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.370775, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 824073, "relative_activity": 0.134097, "balance": 0.370775, "dry_up": 0.227804, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068355, "annualized_volatility": 0.330891, "from_high_reference": -0.178924, "from_low_reference": 0.359853 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 616.351666, "fair_value_reference": 737.91037, "structural_low": 477.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.036488, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.000432, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.326903, "worst_return": -0.201975, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.13699, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.061578, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.492456, "worst_return": 0.033439, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.010261, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.098306, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.396045, "worst_return": -0.083258, "sufficient": false }, { 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 656.049988, "volume": 1438024, "typical_volume": 9625289.55, "trend": 615.406665, "fair_value": 737.652776, "relative_strength": 9.44935, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.241534, "energy": 27.5736, "activity_lines": [ 674.396655, 680.730899, 661.297376, 638.036987 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 660.0, "volume": 1513438, "typical_volume": 9629203.1, "trend": 615.186666, "fair_value": 737.679345, "relative_strength": 7.19372, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.153181, "energy": 20.601627, "activity_lines": [ 667.213326, 677.970901, 663.717138, 640.913976 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 648.650024, "volume": 824073, "typical_volume": 6145360.65, "trend": 616.351666, "fair_value": 737.91037, "relative_strength": 4.382491, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.767306, "energy": 21.752393, "activity_lines": [ 658.453337, 672.634543, 664.266902, 643.072902 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }