{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b49feab4-664e-4529-87f8-b286d362ac94", "symbol": "002370", "name": "Zhejiang Yatai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.983, "architecture_energy": 52.425, "architecture_maturity": 47.347, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.63, "rotation_up": 22.78, "upward_expansion": 8.27, "deceleration": 53.77, "rotation_down": 53.69, "downward_expansion": 79.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.021333, 5.113455, 5.532, 5.880903 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 5.28, "trend_reference": 6.338, "distance_from_trend": -0.16693, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.618974, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.143111, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.295866, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.257384, "excess_performance": -0.264784, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.16693, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.115957, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.143111, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.334996, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.232959, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.107668, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.257384, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.252038, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 116712839, "relative_activity": 0.751784, "balance": 0.252038, "dry_up": 0.931536, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.107372, "annualized_volatility": 0.494593, "from_high_reference": -0.438895, "from_low_reference": 0.197279 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.338, "fair_value_reference": 4.618974, "structural_low": 4.41, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.004598, "positive_rate": 0.52381, "directional_follow_through": 0.47619, "median_excess_return": -0.000998, "regime_survival": 0.761905, "best_return": 1.29064, "worst_return": -0.183607, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.043614, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.00059, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 1.034483, "worst_return": -0.244776, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.027193, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.019912, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.300493, "worst_return": -0.286036, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 5.334, 5.481818, 5.992095, 6.284731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.17, "volume": 227159180, "typical_volume": 149026568.25, "trend": 6.583667, "fair_value": 4.605449, "relative_strength": -23.334973, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.934185, "energy": 54.18992, "activity_lines": [ 5.304, 5.383273, 5.88281, 6.189075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.58, "volume": 129842780, "typical_volume": 150797421.9, "trend": 6.497333, "fair_value": 4.608205, "relative_strength": -32.099398, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.281558, "energy": 60.152886, "activity_lines": [ 5.081333, 5.204909, 5.725476, 6.059806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.85, "volume": 104760930, "typical_volume": 152350154.6, "trend": 6.405667, "fair_value": 4.6125, "relative_strength": -26.636624, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.273956, "energy": 58.964627, "activity_lines": [ 4.978667, 5.108545, 5.60419, 5.953527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.28, "volume": 116712839, "typical_volume": 155247834.95, "trend": 6.338, "fair_value": 4.618974, "relative_strength": -23.295866, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.982529, "energy": 52.425294, "activity_lines": [ 5.021333, 5.113455, 5.532, 5.880903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }