{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b4b2ac21-0322-403c-8b3b-02791f0aafc0", "symbol": "VIBHA", "name": "Vibhavadi Medical Center Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 71.542, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 8.356, "architecture_energy": 18.099, "architecture_maturity": 17.004, "architecture_confidence": 70.588, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.46, "rotation_up": 19.58, "upward_expansion": 38.4, "deceleration": 83.2, "rotation_down": 39.81, "downward_expansion": 36.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.347333, 1.355455, 1.357241, 1.35315 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1.35, "trend_reference": 1.34662, "distance_from_trend": 0.00251, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.634172, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.173894, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.318911, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.014071, "excess_performance": -0.178254, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.00251, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008597, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.173894, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017978, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.143189, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003787, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.014071, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.273642, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9851600, "relative_activity": 2.289278, "balance": 0.273642, "dry_up": 2.851106, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019373, "annualized_volatility": 0.075347, "from_high_reference": -0.150868, "from_low_reference": 0.067848 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.34662, "fair_value_reference": 1.634172, "structural_low": 1.273803, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.011241, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.004227, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.176992, "worst_return": -0.104545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.029094, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.002849, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.162393, "worst_return": -0.129808, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.015894, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.003525, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.153846, "worst_return": -0.115385, "sufficient": false }, { 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"up", "direction": 53.215793, "energy": 40.9878, "activity_lines": [ 1.373333, 1.369273, 1.35999, 1.353189 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.35, "volume": 21770900, "typical_volume": 3443805.0, "trend": 1.345413, "fair_value": 1.650188, "relative_strength": -17.25082, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.750618, "energy": 27.098344, "activity_lines": [ 1.366667, 1.366, 1.359797, 1.353608 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.33, "volume": 11180200, "typical_volume": 3809215.0, "trend": 1.34569, "fair_value": 1.64488, "relative_strength": -18.145761, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.813243, "energy": 7.255389, "activity_lines": [ 1.354, 1.359636, 1.35761, 1.352613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.35, "volume": 6274700, "typical_volume": 3947620.0, "trend": 1.345995, "fair_value": 1.639236, "relative_strength": -15.403174, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.614831, "energy": 19.239542, "activity_lines": [ 1.35, 1.357455, 1.357425, 1.352891 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.35, "volume": 9851600, "typical_volume": 4303365.0, "trend": 1.34662, "fair_value": 1.634172, "relative_strength": -14.318911, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.356116, "energy": 18.099357, "activity_lines": [ 1.347333, 1.355455, 1.357241, 1.35315 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }