{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b4b8bc21-02d6-43dc-9e1d-da824759db47",
    "symbol": "00894",
    "name": "CTBC TIP Customized Investor Movement Aristocrats 30 ETF",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 91.338,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 32.998,
    "architecture_energy": 23.572,
    "architecture_maturity": 74.358,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.806,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.02,
        "rotation_up": 25.51,
        "upward_expansion": 57.13,
        "deceleration": 88.32,
        "rotation_down": 32.74,
        "downward_expansion": 18.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        45.191333,
        46.216908,
        46.207435,
        43.780491
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 46.669998,
    "trend_reference": 39.992417,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.166971,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 21.880829,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.132917,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 7.969762,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.561573,
    "excess_performance": 0.182261,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.166971,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.213611,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.132917,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.308483,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079698,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.131344,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.561573,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.879544,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9935485,
      "relative_activity": 1.060007,
      "balance": 0.879544,
      "dry_up": 0.903103,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.082191,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.387827,
      "from_high_reference": -0.088477,
      "from_low_reference": 1.322442
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 39.992417,
      "fair_value_reference": 21.880829,
      "structural_low": 28.745307,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.03658,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008362,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.070826,
        "worst_return": 0.005575,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.071602,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.039509,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.142846,
        "worst_return": 0.069991,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.165154,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.068254,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.222834,
        "worst_return": 0.107475,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.277999,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.100073,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.438015,
        "worst_return": 0.117983,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-06-02",
        "end": "2023-08-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.000703,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-08-11",
        "end": "2023-10-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.078183,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.03652,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.002548,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.136055,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.014597,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.037397,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.14615,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 9619820.65,
        "trend": 38.116085,
        "fair_value": 21.245215,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 34.838747,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 45.200001,
        "volume": 7999335,
        "typical_volume": 9407323.2,
        "trend": 38.77317,
        "fair_value": 21.455511,
        "relative_strength": 6.672135,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.085738,
        "energy": 27.310639,
        "activity_lines": [
          45.902666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 43.75,
        "volume": 7311294,
        "typical_volume": 9261213.3,
        "trend": 39.347783,
        "fair_value": 21.65855,
        "relative_strength": 4.19154,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.129702,
        "energy": 23.993007,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.965333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 46.669998,
        "volume": 9935485,
        "typical_volume": 9373034.35,
        "trend": 39.992417,
        "fair_value": 21.880829,
        "relative_strength": 7.969762,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.998328,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}