{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b4bacd8c-ccb9-4369-909a-fd639ede2b2d", "symbol": "X1YZ34", "name": "Block, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.359, "architecture_energy": 53.457, "architecture_maturity": 50.817, "architecture_confidence": 71.056, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.86, "rotation_up": 57.44, "upward_expansion": 81.95, "deceleration": 66.94, "rotation_down": 22.01, "downward_expansion": 8.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.194667, 16.010727, 15.342714, 14.706409 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 15.96, "trend_reference": 13.974333, "distance_from_trend": 0.142094, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.652949, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.089201, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.54939, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.371134, "excess_performance": 0.428182, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.142094, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042705, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.089201, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062775, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.045494, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.186698, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.371134, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.156038, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17731, "relative_activity": 3.024452, "balance": 0.156038, "dry_up": 1.236194, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059042, "annualized_volatility": 0.494472, "from_high_reference": -0.093182, "from_low_reference": 0.586481 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.974333, "fair_value_reference": 14.652949, "structural_low": 10.06, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.028037, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.015754, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.263033, "worst_return": -0.144005, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.054018, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.034102, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.248815, "worst_return": -0.211654, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.204828, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.380618, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.246106, "worst_return": -0.385071, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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13.442753 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 14.11, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 8742.55, "trend": 13.453667, "fair_value": 14.508846, "relative_strength": -10.47589, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.546187, "energy": 35.213918, "activity_lines": [ 14.236, 14.218364, 13.635524, 13.487806 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 15.39, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 8581.8, "trend": 13.516667, "fair_value": 14.530321, "relative_strength": -0.643228, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.360649, "energy": 64.130644, "activity_lines": [ 14.622667, 14.465091, 13.851286, 13.612731 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 16.040001, "volume": 1525, "typical_volume": 7045.0, "trend": 13.576333, "fair_value": 14.551859, "relative_strength": 1.039481, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.456441, "energy": 76.133604, "activity_lines": [ 15.148667, 14.775091, 14.116333, 13.775527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 16.139999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 6407.35, "trend": 13.674667, "fair_value": 14.570577, "relative_strength": 1.359585, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.438298, "energy": 86.092099, "activity_lines": [ 15.548, 15.060727, 14.369952, 13.940925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 15.84, "volume": 357, "typical_volume": 6408.95, "trend": 13.738667, "fair_value": 14.579487, "relative_strength": -2.185328, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.286421, "energy": 84.530166, "activity_lines": [ 15.784667, 15.258727, 14.568333, 14.080624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 16.73, "volume": 7010, "typical_volume": 5441.2, "trend": 13.821333, "fair_value": 14.593846, "relative_strength": 6.354875, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.3827, "energy": 91.909212, "activity_lines": [ 16.193333, 15.584364, 14.828238, 14.273613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.62, "volume": 146, "typical_volume": 5132.25, "trend": 13.852, "fair_value": 14.59859, "relative_strength": 0.056035, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.990316, "energy": 76.051985, "activity_lines": [ 16.057333, 15.673636, 14.96519, 14.389656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.74, "volume": 4102, "typical_volume": 5168.85, "trend": 13.938333, "fair_value": 14.626731, "relative_strength": 5.527314, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.169208, "energy": 63.477615, "activity_lines": [ 16.279333, 15.941273, 15.200762, 14.575978 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.96, "volume": 17731, "typical_volume": 5862.55, "trend": 13.974333, "fair_value": 14.652949, "relative_strength": 4.54939, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.359452, "energy": 53.456561, "activity_lines": [ 16.194667, 16.010727, 15.342714, 14.706409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }