{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b4c7d7f3-6a54-42ad-9494-a483c91f7fde",
    "symbol": "MBWS",
    "name": "Marie Brizard Wine & Spirits SA",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 67.9,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 70.177,
    "architecture_energy": 58.698,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.307,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.398,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.75,
        "rotation_up": 67.42,
        "upward_expansion": 85.67,
        "deceleration": 50.29,
        "rotation_down": 16.1,
        "downward_expansion": 10.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.964,
        2.937091,
        2.877,
        2.83843
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 2.99,
    "trend_reference": 2.804,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.066334,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.087308,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.031519,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.152874,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.071685,
    "excess_performance": 0.018373,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066334,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002503,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031519,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046496,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021529,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033647,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071685,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.53494,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 33118,
      "relative_activity": 2.659813,
      "balance": 5.53494,
      "dry_up": 1.386909,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.029843,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.149184,
      "from_high_reference": -0.041667,
      "from_low_reference": 0.200803
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.804,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.087308,
      "structural_low": 2.49,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.014619,
        "positive_rate": 0.681818,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.681818,
        "median_excess_return": 0.026929,
        "regime_survival": 0.863636,
        "best_return": 0.824561,
        "worst_return": -0.107692,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.090578,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.052063,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.510204,
        "worst_return": -0.056738,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.177966,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.18619,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": 0.010638,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.512712,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.499022,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.159664,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-01-27",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "color": "orange",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-06-06",
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        "volume": 5559,
        "typical_volume": 23540.65,
        "trend": 2.817667,
        "fair_value": 3.032949,
        "relative_strength": -6.591618,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.152951,
        "energy": 14.938329,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.782667,
          2.749636,
          2.751333,
          2.778043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 2.8,
        "volume": 5605,
        "typical_volume": 23049.1,
        "trend": 2.813,
        "fair_value": 3.036923,
        "relative_strength": -5.517561,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -9.252511,
        "energy": 11.637476,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.790667,
          2.763091,
          2.754048,
          2.776903
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 2.73,
        "volume": 9499,
        "typical_volume": 22980.65,
        "trend": 2.806667,
        "fair_value": 3.040769,
        "relative_strength": -5.728594,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -17.25051,
        "energy": 12.037943,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.774,
          2.762909,
          2.750333,
          2.771548
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 2.78,
        "volume": 25194,
        "typical_volume": 23890.8,
        "trend": 2.801,
        "fair_value": 3.044679,
        "relative_strength": -5.570969,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -11.925786,
        "energy": 6.960928,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.774667,
          2.770364,
          2.751952,
          2.769828
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 2.79,
        "volume": 10641,
        "typical_volume": 23833.0,
        "trend": 2.797,
        "fair_value": 3.048141,
        "relative_strength": -5.635156,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.920609,
        "energy": 8.906814,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.776,
          2.776909,
          2.754905,
          2.769118
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 2.75,
        "volume": 3810,
        "typical_volume": 23083.25,
        "trend": 2.793,
        "fair_value": 3.05141,
        "relative_strength": -6.98448,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -25.814084,
        "energy": 12.49803,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.767333,
          2.772727,
          2.754286,
          2.766086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 2.74,
        "volume": 8857,
        "typical_volume": 23081.5,
        "trend": 2.788,
        "fair_value": 3.055128,
        "relative_strength": -8.304391,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.247148,
        "energy": 13.348379,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.757333,
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          2.753095,
          2.762667
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 2.87,
        "volume": 12128,
        "typical_volume": 21228.5,
        "trend": 2.787667,
        "fair_value": 3.059231,
        "relative_strength": -4.312606,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.507863,
        "energy": 18.851689,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.794667,
          2.785091,
          2.764714,
          2.767957
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 2.91,
        "volume": 4213,
        "typical_volume": 20663.2,
        "trend": 2.786,
        "fair_value": 3.063654,
        "relative_strength": -2.284507,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 41.627182,
        "energy": 45.276304,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.836,
          2.808364,
          2.77981,
          2.775849
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 2.93,
        "volume": 650,
        "typical_volume": 19710.45,
        "trend": 2.787333,
        "fair_value": 3.068013,
        "relative_strength": -2.723091,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.257418,
        "energy": 60.526686,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.875333,
          2.832182,
          2.796238,
          2.78514
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 2.96,
        "volume": 21646,
        "typical_volume": 18985.3,
        "trend": 2.789667,
        "fair_value": 3.071731,
        "relative_strength": 0.447571,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.822411,
        "energy": 77.442365,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.915333,
          2.859818,
          2.814857,
          2.79628
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.93,
        "volume": 3192,
        "typical_volume": 15012.15,
        "trend": 2.792333,
        "fair_value": 3.075385,
        "relative_strength": -0.394399,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.807879,
        "energy": 74.340684,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.931333,
          2.878727,
          2.829524,
          2.805333
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.95,
        "volume": 26379,
        "typical_volume": 12961.05,
        "trend": 2.795667,
        "fair_value": 3.079231,
        "relative_strength": 0.023403,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.798872,
        "energy": 74.751297,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.941333,
          2.898909,
          2.845238,
          2.815505
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.96,
        "volume": 6386,
        "typical_volume": 12295.9,
        "trend": 2.799,
        "fair_value": 3.083141,
        "relative_strength": -1.017567,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.144896,
        "energy": 70.010598,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.949333,
          2.916909,
          2.860476,
          2.826108
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.99,
        "volume": 33118,
        "typical_volume": 12451.25,
        "trend": 2.804,
        "fair_value": 3.087308,
        "relative_strength": -2.152874,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.177388,
        "energy": 58.697695,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.964,
          2.937091,
          2.877,
          2.83843
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}