{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b4cc9c10-950f-4eaa-bbe3-d720af414f64", "symbol": "VIRI", "name": "Viridien Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 anonyme", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.49, "architecture_energy": 47.242, "architecture_maturity": 50.343, "architecture_confidence": 70.483, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.57, "rotation_up": 27.34, "upward_expansion": 20.54, "deceleration": 58.6, "rotation_down": 43.05, "downward_expansion": 70.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 88.42, 86.853637, 97.650715, 104.924408 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 94.099998, "trend_reference": 112.56, "distance_from_trend": -0.164001, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 68.080961, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.382178, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.759368, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.220381, "excess_performance": -0.273692, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.164001, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036466, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.382178, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.303263, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.117594, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.337144, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.220381, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.538972, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 228925, "relative_activity": 1.404073, "balance": 4.538972, "dry_up": 1.146258, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104308, "annualized_volatility": 0.664662, "from_high_reference": -0.416976, "from_low_reference": 0.953904 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 112.56, "fair_value_reference": 68.080961, "structural_low": 75.599998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.014855, "positive_rate": 0.541667, "directional_follow_through": 0.458333, "median_excess_return": 0.02946, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.275554, "worst_return": -0.241032, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.049822, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.021295, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.435691, "worst_return": -0.365459, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.008087, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.062827, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.483923, "worst_return": -0.202174, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-22.67807, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.879901, "energy": 86.264929, "activity_lines": [ 80.133333, 89.191819, 103.723571, 109.493871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 83.400002, "volume": 170156, "typical_volume": 166906.8, "trend": 113.655, "fair_value": 67.787179, "relative_strength": -17.448688, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.001801, "energy": 84.620955, "activity_lines": [ 80.500001, 86.720001, 100.895715, 107.517849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 92.650002, "volume": 225086, "typical_volume": 164970.55, "trend": 113.293333, "fair_value": 67.952884, "relative_strength": -10.405098, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.345807, "energy": 60.129955, "activity_lines": [ 84.473335, 86.450001, 99.133096, 106.162688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 94.099998, "volume": 228925, "typical_volume": 163043.55, "trend": 112.56, "fair_value": 68.080961, "relative_strength": -11.759368, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.490012, "energy": 47.24155, "activity_lines": [ 88.42, 86.853637, 97.650715, 104.924408 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }