{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b4dc205f-167b-41a3-bffd-991173a8e456", "symbol": "A1KA34", "name": "Akamai Technologies, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 67.608, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -7.099, "architecture_energy": 18.886, "architecture_maturity": 37.17, "architecture_confidence": 77.942, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.07, "rotation_up": 15.23, "upward_expansion": 41.74, "deceleration": 79.54, "rotation_down": 48.62, "downward_expansion": 40.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 48.927335, 50.200183, 52.205144, 50.981097 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 47.400002, "trend_reference": 48.829334, "distance_from_trend": -0.029272, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 43.433782, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.091316, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.644136, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.183521, "excess_performance": 0.240569, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.029272, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097124, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.091316, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.331698, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.056441, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.256833, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.183521, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.399198, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 55953, "relative_activity": 6.061653, "balance": 0.399198, "dry_up": 2.488476, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.116553, "annualized_volatility": 0.828279, "from_high_reference": -0.310646, "from_low_reference": 0.503807 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 48.829334, "fair_value_reference": 43.433782, "structural_low": 36.959999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.032046, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.012602, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.084002, "worst_return": -0.091182, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.013661, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.012154, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.054171, "worst_return": -0.129947, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.166197, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.159959, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.136754, "worst_return": -0.17976, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.064337, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.088532, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.037197, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.226083, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.018943, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": 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56.715273, 51.666715, 48.885248 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 56.389999, "volume": 842, "typical_volume": 7666.65, "trend": 46.114, "fair_value": 42.768141, "relative_strength": 28.780813, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.014039, "energy": 76.355554, "activity_lines": [ 61.022666, 57.488909, 52.435, 49.583204 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 53.900002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 7576.25, "trend": 46.619, "fair_value": 42.887757, "relative_strength": 24.426612, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.247202, "energy": 49.172726, "activity_lines": [ 58.396667, 57.691091, 52.897619, 50.085527 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 48.5, "volume": 521, "typical_volume": 7601.2, "trend": 46.903667, "fair_value": 42.97109, "relative_strength": 8.828469, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", 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"deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.782688, "energy": 22.377457, "activity_lines": [ 51.240668, 53.916364, 53.081477, 50.983592 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 49.290001, "volume": 11105, "typical_volume": 6130.05, "trend": 48.332334, "fair_value": 43.333462, "relative_strength": 9.281326, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.600953, "energy": 12.445592, "activity_lines": [ 50.584668, 52.602183, 52.900858, 51.061097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.25, "volume": 14220, "typical_volume": 6668.9, "trend": 48.557667, "fair_value": 43.40109, "relative_strength": 4.518966, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.395868, "energy": 10.632052, "activity_lines": [ 49.889334, 51.357092, 52.595239, 51.055785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.400002, "volume": 55953, "typical_volume": 9230.65, "trend": 48.829334, "fair_value": 43.433782, "relative_strength": 5.644136, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -7.098591, "energy": 18.885839, "activity_lines": [ 48.927335, 50.200183, 52.205144, 50.981097 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }