{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b4eacb5b-6c71-4f97-9787-851130b5ed51",
    "symbol": "V3AA",
    "name": "Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) Accumulating",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.786,
    "architecture_energy": 69.264,
    "architecture_maturity": 89.845,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.443,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.26,
        "rotation_up": 57.29,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 68.59,
        "rotation_down": 29.31,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.0502,
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        6.887862,
        6.709512
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 7.211,
    "trend_reference": 6.5068,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.108225,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 5.621189,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.282825,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.084341,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.186996,
    "excess_performance": 0.104113,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108225,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044687,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.282825,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059793,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030843,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037492,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.186996,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 7.408419,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 46124,
      "relative_activity": 0.929238,
      "balance": 7.408419,
      "dry_up": 1.287212,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01886,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.132113,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002904,
      "from_low_reference": 0.254742
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.5068,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.621189,
      "structural_low": 5.747,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.005097,
        "positive_rate": 0.607143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.607143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002476,
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        "best_return": 0.050159,
        "worst_return": -0.121127,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.174808,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.073322,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.911042,
        "energy": 62.165856,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 49942.45,
        "trend": 6.1604,
        "fair_value": 5.417683,
        "relative_strength": 6.833502,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.221813,
        "energy": 86.887103,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 52143.35,
        "trend": 6.1839,
        "fair_value": 5.432317,
        "relative_strength": 6.043244,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.71207,
        "energy": 89.507417,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 54617.4,
        "trend": 6.2065,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.403505,
        "energy": 92.562402,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": 6.340879,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 50024.7,
        "trend": 6.2557,
        "fair_value": 5.478151,
        "relative_strength": 7.315609,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 91.614296,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 45802.4,
        "trend": 6.284933,
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        "relative_strength": 4.768263,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.53873,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 6.928381,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 42934.25,
        "trend": 6.345933,
        "fair_value": 5.524468,
        "relative_strength": 1.817171,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.069824,
        "energy": 85.894057,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.937133,
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          6.59949,
          6.472034
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 7.034,
        "volume": 1361,
        "typical_volume": 41124.45,
        "trend": 6.371667,
        "fair_value": 5.540705,
        "relative_strength": 1.565325,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.280578,
        "energy": 88.853667,
        "activity_lines": [
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          6.516426
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 125262,
        "typical_volume": 44269.35,
        "trend": 6.400467,
        "fair_value": 5.557212,
        "relative_strength": 3.262898,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.585563,
        "energy": 86.295725,
        "activity_lines": [
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          6.71661,
          6.561157
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 6.887,
        "volume": 59366,
        "typical_volume": 45202.15,
        "trend": 6.425633,
        "fair_value": 5.57241,
        "relative_strength": -0.125485,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.069217,
        "energy": 65.586184,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.9802,
          6.9472,
          6.753262,
          6.592546
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 6.969,
        "volume": 55313,
        "typical_volume": 45967.35,
        "trend": 6.4518,
        "fair_value": 5.587856,
        "relative_strength": 1.149779,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.949652,
        "energy": 63.39567,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.971933,
          6.960345,
          6.794238,
          6.627602
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.988,
        "volume": 94767,
        "typical_volume": 48908.9,
        "trend": 6.4776,
        "fair_value": 5.603651,
        "relative_strength": 1.304892,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.615145,
        "energy": 60.737667,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.976067,
          6.971145,
          6.832867,
          6.662196
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.211,
        "volume": 46124,
        "typical_volume": 49636.35,
        "trend": 6.5068,
        "fair_value": 5.621189,
        "relative_strength": 3.084341,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.786457,
        "energy": 69.263636,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.0502,
          7.0182,
          6.887862,
          6.709512
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}