{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b4ed3920-6b3a-4d20-a9e3-5d2e5ca65e6b", "symbol": "EA", "name": "Electronic Arts Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.768, "architecture_energy": 83.532, "architecture_maturity": 19.465, "architecture_confidence": 70.177, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.62, "rotation_up": 77.45, "upward_expansion": 95.86, "deceleration": 43.01, "rotation_down": 10.89, "downward_expansion": 20.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 182.633333, 181.427273, 178.543334, 176.883128 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 182.5, "trend_reference": 174.924387, "distance_from_trend": 0.043308, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 141.669057, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.288214, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.676926, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.080737, "excess_performance": -0.09351, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043308, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012331, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.288214, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036677, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.126769, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042626, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.080737, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01201, "annualized_volatility": 0.065536, "from_high_reference": -0.01084, "from_low_reference": 0.295486 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 174.924387, "fair_value_reference": 141.669057, "structural_low": 166.411764, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.007124, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": -0.01042, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.175297, "worst_return": -0.115863, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.018621, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.061936, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.170214, "worst_return": -0.15988, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.004946, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.033109, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.143916, "worst_return": -0.143784, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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173.060634 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 176.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 17.4, "trend": 173.088243, "fair_value": 138.767526, "relative_strength": -14.384651, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.142014, "energy": 65.466611, "activity_lines": [ 175.587333, 174.391606, 173.704851, 173.285729 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 180.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16.4, "trend": 173.31806, "fair_value": 139.171375, "relative_strength": -10.667707, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.717552, "energy": 83.452036, "activity_lines": [ 177.4, 175.630366, 174.439037, 173.763907 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 180.0, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16.4, "trend": 173.492285, "fair_value": 139.572901, "relative_strength": -12.957135, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.119431, 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"modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.847202, "energy": 92.648074, "activity_lines": [ 182.1, 180.051091, 177.303818, 175.855307 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 182.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19.25, "trend": 174.682128, "fair_value": 141.198156, "relative_strength": -10.167974, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.821378, "energy": 86.64013, "activity_lines": [ 182.433333, 180.818182, 177.943838, 176.378749 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 182.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 19.25, "trend": 174.924387, "fair_value": 141.669057, "relative_strength": -12.676926, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.767741, "energy": 83.531823, "activity_lines": [ 182.633333, 181.427273, 178.543334, 176.883128 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }