{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b4ee27ab-d292-4d74-8589-428875248adb", "symbol": "GRCTB", "name": "BNP PARIBAS Easy ICAV - BNP Paribas Easy FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Dev Green CTBUCITSETFUCITSETFEURCAP", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 78.056, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.812, "architecture_energy": 73.907, "architecture_maturity": 22.954, "architecture_confidence": 80.446, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.77, "rotation_up": 63.28, "upward_expansion": 88.6, "deceleration": 51.74, "rotation_down": 22.61, "downward_expansion": 15.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.6954, 9.641336, 9.48739, 9.36522 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 9.6954, "trend_reference": 9.19516, "distance_from_trend": 0.054403, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.834726, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.097419, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.256272, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.101137, "excess_performance": 0.047825, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.054403, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03317, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.097419, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030947, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.012563, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041024, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.101137, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.011038, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.011038, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.009983, "annualized_volatility": 0.133252, "from_high_reference": -0.01761, "from_low_reference": 0.155686 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.19516, "fair_value_reference": 8.834726, "structural_low": 8.564, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.016023, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.017525, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.016023, "worst_return": 0.016023, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.37319, "energy": 95.088246, "activity_lines": [ 9.591527, 9.459669, 9.32315, 9.214225 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.6954, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 438.25, "trend": 9.093123, "fair_value": 8.803617, "relative_strength": 6.05843, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.873345, "energy": 92.791892, "activity_lines": [ 9.65136, 9.517118, 9.367426, 9.255297 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.6954, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 438.25, "trend": 9.12746, "fair_value": 8.814233, "relative_strength": 5.489777, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.044146, "energy": 89.957651, "activity_lines": [ 9.68614, 9.567358, 9.409722, 9.294153 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.6954, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 424.7, "trend": 9.161797, "fair_value": 8.8246, "relative_strength": 3.751748, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.337219, "energy": 87.575237, "activity_lines": [ 9.695867, 9.607793, 9.45004, 9.330794 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.6954, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 424.7, "trend": 9.19516, "fair_value": 8.834726, "relative_strength": 1.256272, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.81206, "energy": 73.906566, "activity_lines": [ 9.6954, 9.641336, 9.48739, 9.36522 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }