{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b5048ff6-f74a-4466-872b-5ba4d6ef92d8",
    "symbol": "002149",
    "name": "Western Metal Materials Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 68.423,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -67.122,
    "architecture_energy": 83.059,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.6,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.849,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.36,
        "rotation_up": 8.22,
        "upward_expansion": 20.0,
        "deceleration": 37.05,
        "rotation_down": 79.59,
        "downward_expansion": 95.66
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        35.658001,
        40.906618,
        49.353988,
        50.621185
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 39.240002,
    "trend_reference": 51.127312,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.232504,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.33473,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.681614,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.892476,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.202925,
    "excess_performance": -0.210325,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.232504,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.147527,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.681614,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.877857,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008925,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.993733,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.202925,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.490828,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 224238523,
      "relative_activity": 0.922453,
      "balance": 0.490828,
      "dry_up": 0.696568,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.204846,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.818794,
      "from_high_reference": -0.502472,
      "from_low_reference": 1.440299
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 51.127312,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.33473,
      "structural_low": 28.4,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.198353,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.125266,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.216101,
        "worst_return": 0.041499,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.027751,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.120929,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.101588,
        "worst_return": -0.335341,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.012535,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.143034,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.297672,
        "worst_return": -0.051931,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.130131,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.276443,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 2.039764,
        "worst_return": 0.001316,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.102061,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.117138,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.171428,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.238005,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.036668,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.129419,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.07369,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.027954,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.409844,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.146076,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.10819,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.012685,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.327891,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": 0.221289,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-07-28",
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      },
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 247714411.35,
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        "fair_value": 23.086472,
        "relative_strength": -13.316916,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 241661328.75,
        "trend": 51.336311,
        "fair_value": 23.187696,
        "relative_strength": -11.399972,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -50.151319,
        "energy": 78.222027,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 39.240002,
        "volume": 224238523,
        "typical_volume": 243089430.05,
        "trend": 51.127312,
        "fair_value": 23.33473,
        "relative_strength": 0.892476,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.121522,
        "energy": 83.059085,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}