{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b537451e-990d-4bb4-b9f9-963229d545ba", "symbol": "FLUX", "name": "Flux Power Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -74.594, "architecture_energy": 89.111, "architecture_maturity": 80.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.817, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.68, "rotation_up": 10.4, "upward_expansion": 21.85, "deceleration": 37.04, "rotation_down": 79.48, "downward_expansion": 97.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.576367, 0.671375, 0.820578, 0.929715 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.535, "trend_reference": 1.073287, "distance_from_trend": -0.501531, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.556049, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.790693, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -72.60259, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.55042, "excess_performance": -0.737874, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.501531, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.212943, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.790693, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.151378, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.726026, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.179087, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.55042, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.621289, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 698245, "relative_activity": 1.314728, "balance": 0.621289, "dry_up": 0.903947, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.270546, "annualized_volatility": 0.968622, "from_high_reference": -0.929139, "from_low_reference": 0.138298 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.073287, "fair_value_reference": 2.556049, "structural_low": 0.47, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": -0.056601, "positive_rate": 0.447368, "directional_follow_through": 0.552632, "median_excess_return": -0.083215, "regime_survival": 0.894737, "best_return": 0.380403, "worst_return": -0.416694, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.123377, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.085791, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.466667, "worst_return": -0.508963, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.282076, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.262153, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.802521, "worst_return": -0.569545, "sufficient": true }, { 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.462462, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.042683, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.047619, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.114754, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": 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"typical_volume": 560150.0, "trend": 1.165297, "fair_value": 2.645794, "relative_strength": -66.256849, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.636117, "energy": 74.37108, "activity_lines": [ 0.768427, 0.832007, 0.951664, 1.043416 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.5906, "volume": 263622, "typical_volume": 536392.05, "trend": 1.138317, "fair_value": 2.614131, "relative_strength": -68.946365, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.092158, "energy": 76.772092, "activity_lines": [ 0.70042, 0.778136, 0.908012, 1.006339 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.5241, "volume": 691541, "typical_volume": 537962.75, "trend": 1.108453, "fair_value": 2.583837, "relative_strength": -72.175047, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.464847, "energy": 85.40981, "activity_lines": [ 0.628207, 0.719256, 0.861738, 0.966712 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.535, "volume": 698245, "typical_volume": 531094.5, "trend": 1.073287, "fair_value": 2.556049, "relative_strength": -72.60259, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.594351, "energy": 89.110985, "activity_lines": [ 0.576367, 0.671375, 0.820578, 0.929715 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }