{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b558eba1-e450-4eb6-b0b3-a2b76e9f82a2",
    "symbol": "TVK",
    "name": "TerraVest Industries Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -43.254,
    "architecture_energy": 29.22,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.23,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.088,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 37.55,
        "rotation_up": 21.01,
        "upward_expansion": 9.69,
        "deceleration": 61.55,
        "rotation_down": 43.71,
        "downward_expansion": 68.69
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        117.937335,
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        122.836372,
        126.842889
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 120.43,
    "trend_reference": 132.995864,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.094483,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 106.428536,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.131557,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.790464,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.218595,
    "excess_performance": -0.339016,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.094483,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059446,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.131557,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.167788,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.217905,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015212,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.218595,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.914403,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 261900,
      "relative_activity": 0.676342,
      "balance": 0.914403,
      "dry_up": 0.819539,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.109629,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.641035,
      "from_high_reference": -0.311587,
      "from_low_reference": 0.269926
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 132.995864,
      "fair_value_reference": 106.428536,
      "structural_low": 94.832288,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.023865,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": 0.026968,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.258017,
        "worst_return": -0.108701,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.125798,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.102853,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.182151,
        "worst_return": 0.069445,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.030794,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.010627,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.230249,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-07-26",
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        "return": 0.18665,
        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-12-26",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "volume": 630700,
        "typical_volume": 381950.0,
        "trend": 141.377578,
        "fair_value": 96.562059,
        "relative_strength": -22.751976,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.976857,
        "energy": 32.618026,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 137.830002,
        "volume": 364700,
        "typical_volume": 392980.0,
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        "fair_value": 97.277064,
        "relative_strength": -18.765491,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "energy": 25.852764,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "volume": 346700,
        "typical_volume": 388670.0,
        "trend": 141.161502,
        "fair_value": 97.96446,
        "relative_strength": -20.028653,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.630336,
        "energy": 19.997111,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 128.133392,
        "volume": 281900,
        "typical_volume": 373620.0,
        "trend": 140.878212,
        "fair_value": 98.613805,
        "relative_strength": -23.311639,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.552929,
        "energy": 30.834524,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 632200,
        "typical_volume": 399010.0,
        "trend": 140.790861,
        "fair_value": 99.289115,
        "relative_strength": -19.292003,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.863664,
        "energy": 27.647858,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 142.438095,
        "volume": 555600,
        "typical_volume": 419185.0,
        "trend": 140.798561,
        "fair_value": 100.031094,
        "relative_strength": -14.141232,
        "stage": 4,
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        "direction": -29.129023,
        "energy": 17.046962,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 153.508514,
        "volume": 494500,
        "typical_volume": 428275.0,
        "trend": 141.401664,
        "fair_value": 100.843162,
        "relative_strength": -7.514419,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 14.246024,
        "energy": 13.151888,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 108.208633,
        "volume": 1616600,
        "typical_volume": 486880.0,
        "trend": 140.940572,
        "fair_value": 101.368036,
        "relative_strength": -33.295289,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.032049,
        "energy": 29.956264,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 118.111122,
        "volume": 151400,
        "typical_volume": 480055.0,
        "trend": 140.824189,
        "fair_value": 101.956011,
        "relative_strength": -27.419811,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.741884,
        "energy": 35.970437,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 121.914391,
        "volume": 36900,
        "typical_volume": 465445.0,
        "trend": 140.890765,
        "fair_value": 102.562427,
        "relative_strength": -24.259948,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.795764,
        "energy": 49.459539,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 117.42234,
        "volume": 89700,
        "typical_volume": 452590.0,
        "trend": 140.586867,
        "fair_value": 103.13301,
        "relative_strength": -26.168195,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.428009,
        "energy": 65.31242,
        "activity_lines": [
          119.935227,
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          130.074259,
          134.671929
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 118.980003,
        "volume": 30300,
        "typical_volume": 420735.0,
        "trend": 140.371791,
        "fair_value": 103.712637,
        "relative_strength": -24.852872,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.183345,
        "energy": 61.510324,
        "activity_lines": [
          118.317562,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 117.059998,
        "volume": 309900,
        "typical_volume": 411895.0,
        "trend": 139.174521,
        "fair_value": 104.28027,
        "relative_strength": -25.284879,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.544829,
        "energy": 52.672516,
        "activity_lines": [
          118.361795,
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          127.118794,
          131.773951
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 116.660004,
        "volume": 304600,
        "typical_volume": 398140.0,
        "trend": 137.664391,
        "fair_value": 104.811238,
        "relative_strength": -24.558714,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.861302,
        "energy": 50.334219,
        "activity_lines": [
          117.682606,
          120.486005,
          125.758366,
          130.321402
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 119.870003,
        "volume": 314500,
        "typical_volume": 394090.0,
        "trend": 136.225357,
        "fair_value": 105.364227,
        "relative_strength": -21.804075,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.748128,
        "energy": 37.460028,
        "activity_lines": [
          118.170158,
          119.61112,
          124.847418,
          129.173377
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 114.230003,
        "volume": 388400,
        "typical_volume": 401490.0,
        "trend": 134.557203,
        "fair_value": 105.880246,
        "relative_strength": -24.200555,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.378305,
        "energy": 38.34674,
        "activity_lines": [
          116.914003,
          117.9407,
          123.502653,
          127.754322
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 120.43,
        "volume": 261900,
        "typical_volume": 387230.0,
        "trend": 132.995864,
        "fair_value": 106.428536,
        "relative_strength": -21.790464,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -43.253748,
        "energy": 29.219885,
        "activity_lines": [
          117.937335,
          117.910427,
          122.836372,
          126.842889
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}