{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b56dcfb6-f5b5-456f-a395-47e5af7da3be", "symbol": "GPI", "name": "Grand Prix International Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 80.371, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.394, "architecture_energy": 82.595, "architecture_maturity": 39.435, "architecture_confidence": 77.354, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.49, "rotation_up": 70.85, "upward_expansion": 93.89, "deceleration": 45.04, "rotation_down": 13.41, "downward_expansion": 20.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.791333, 1.771273, 1.746014, 1.716313 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.79, "trend_reference": 1.676122, "distance_from_trend": 0.067941, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.459614, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.226352, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.672915, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.124907, "excess_performance": -0.067418, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.067941, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050219, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.226352, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001292, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.036729, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009903, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.124907, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.970907, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4920800, "relative_activity": 2.336202, "balance": 0.970907, "dry_up": 1.507709, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020198, "annualized_volatility": 0.121305, "from_high_reference": -0.01105, "from_low_reference": 0.212562 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.676122, "fair_value_reference": 1.459614, "structural_low": 1.524142, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.000377, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.001812, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.060976, "worst_return": -0.080357, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.009837, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.032884, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.061839, "worst_return": -0.142857, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.005747, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.086814, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.117725, "worst_return": -0.018822, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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1.647606, "fair_value": 1.448658, "relative_strength": -5.733629, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.221831, "energy": 65.406512, "activity_lines": [ 1.758667, 1.741818, 1.71842, 1.689988 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.79, "volume": 3191300, "typical_volume": 2036895.0, "trend": 1.657426, "fair_value": 1.452402, "relative_strength": -5.805035, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.862469, "energy": 80.472667, "activity_lines": [ 1.772667, 1.752182, 1.728339, 1.699175 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.8, "volume": 2101200, "typical_volume": 2063970.0, "trend": 1.666941, "fair_value": 1.456113, "relative_strength": -4.00532, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.535646, "energy": 86.202408, "activity_lines": [ 1.786, 1.763455, 1.738172, 1.708373 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.79, "volume": 4920800, "typical_volume": 2106325.0, "trend": 1.676122, "fair_value": 1.459614, "relative_strength": -3.672915, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.393926, "energy": 82.595087, "activity_lines": [ 1.791333, 1.771273, 1.746014, 1.716313 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }