{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b5702b74-4376-4d3b-bc1a-35b867418c81",
    "symbol": "CHSRIA",
    "name": "UBS MSCI Switzerland IMI Socially Responsible ETF CHF acc",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 86.802,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.137,
    "architecture_energy": 78.212,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.329,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.969,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.51,
        "rotation_up": 70.36,
        "upward_expansion": 91.1,
        "deceleration": 48.67,
        "rotation_down": 20.6,
        "downward_expansion": 15.44
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        22.599505
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 24.049999,
    "trend_reference": 22.281166,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.079387,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.260894,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.187016,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.562362,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.082358,
    "excess_performance": -0.000525,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079387,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02765,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.187016,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090514,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005624,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01167,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082358,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.877642,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 15897,
      "relative_activity": 0.269585,
      "balance": 0.877642,
      "dry_up": 1.282308,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018375,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.149558,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001039,
      "from_low_reference": 0.210733
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 20.260894,
      "structural_low": 19.864,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 31,
        "median_return": -0.004286,
        "positive_rate": 0.483871,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.483871,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002445,
        "regime_survival": 0.677419,
        "best_return": 0.052533,
        "worst_return": -0.076339,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.057368,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.144963,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 86676.35,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 84281.7,
        "trend": 21.726667,
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        "relative_strength": -1.567965,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 67795.55,
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        "relative_strength": -2.243398,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 81.446962,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 60513.25,
        "trend": 21.980667,
        "fair_value": 20.07071,
        "relative_strength": -1.710793,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 61613.2,
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        "fair_value": 20.108257,
        "relative_strength": -1.637966,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 73.404918,
        "energy": 88.917699,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 23.445,
        "volume": 192887,
        "typical_volume": 67183.2,
        "trend": 22.109,
        "fair_value": 20.145806,
        "relative_strength": -2.151227,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.89899,
        "energy": 88.124434,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.431,
          23.074273,
          22.536333,
          22.31672
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 23.264999,
        "volume": 50959,
        "typical_volume": 67421.75,
        "trend": 22.157667,
        "fair_value": 20.180136,
        "relative_strength": -2.618966,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.360601,
        "energy": 85.551714,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.408333,
          23.167545,
          22.647476,
          22.391301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 23.549999,
        "volume": 42720,
        "typical_volume": 67546.5,
        "trend": 22.215166,
        "fair_value": 20.21866,
        "relative_strength": -1.413467,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.487721,
        "energy": 71.07893,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.449666,
          23.283454,
          22.777214,
          22.481129
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 24.049999,
        "volume": 15897,
        "typical_volume": 58968.5,
        "trend": 22.281166,
        "fair_value": 20.260894,
        "relative_strength": -0.562362,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.137024,
        "energy": 78.211525,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.637332,
          23.464999,
          22.9435,
          22.599505
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}