{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b5876108-4c37-4dda-afc6-a00ec226b9ac", "symbol": "ZEO", "name": "Zeo Energy Corp.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.826, "architecture_energy": 50.283, "architecture_maturity": 32.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.357, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.07, "rotation_up": 13.62, "upward_expansion": 7.64, "deceleration": 45.86, "rotation_down": 66.78, "downward_expansion": 83.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.550207, 0.594471, 0.679452, 0.730931 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.5809, "trend_reference": 0.812647, "distance_from_trend": -0.285175, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.801086, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.847175, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -53.500427, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.377785, "excess_performance": -0.565239, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.285175, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.192141, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.847175, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038714, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.535004, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004004, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.377785, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.083935, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3314824, "relative_activity": 1.228097, "balance": 0.083935, "dry_up": 4.02403, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.303918, "annualized_volatility": 1.02015, "from_high_reference": -0.770395, "from_low_reference": 0.604696 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.812647, "fair_value_reference": 3.801086, "structural_low": 0.362, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.073529, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.099344, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 1.540741, "worst_return": -0.514959, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.21326, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.251837, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.612403, "worst_return": -0.591288, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.261378, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.450933, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.092093, "worst_return": -0.693301, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.199074, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.049383, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.098266, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.194175, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.357977, 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"volume": 274836, "typical_volume": 749140.65, "trend": 0.879023, "fair_value": 4.068442, "relative_strength": -55.716744, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.795375, "energy": 65.132562, "activity_lines": [ 0.66744, 0.725971, 0.761802, 0.812295 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.541, "volume": 371752, "typical_volume": 638908.0, "trend": 0.864397, "fair_value": 4.001717, "relative_strength": -59.779164, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.870538, "energy": 71.875879, "activity_lines": [ 0.618293, 0.683655, 0.737289, 0.790487 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.54, "volume": 162008, "typical_volume": 601212.25, "trend": 0.851263, "fair_value": 3.934602, "relative_strength": -57.615757, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.373579, "energy": 73.133306, "activity_lines": [ 0.584567, 0.647511, 0.715961, 0.769558 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.5006, "volume": 39597348, "typical_volume": 2559675.75, "trend": 0.82895, "fair_value": 3.867587, "relative_strength": -59.357242, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.37072, "energy": 64.364912, "activity_lines": [ 0.54936, 0.610513, 0.692807, 0.746934 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.5809, "volume": 3314824, "typical_volume": 2699155.7, "trend": 0.812647, "fair_value": 3.801086, "relative_strength": -53.500427, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.825862, "energy": 50.28348, "activity_lines": [ 0.550207, 0.594471, 0.679452, 0.730931 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }