{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b58ebfd3-e7cc-4c57-b81d-56ac636c19ba", "symbol": "1615", "name": "Dah San Electric Wire & Cable Corp.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 50.675, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 19.288, "architecture_energy": 12.847, "architecture_maturity": 15.128, "architecture_confidence": 46.859, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.58, "rotation_up": 42.69, "upward_expansion": 34.31, "deceleration": 33.17, "rotation_down": 27.74, "downward_expansion": 22.98 }, "activity_lines": [ 43.396667, 43.18234, 42.686112, 42.738342 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 44.450001, "trend_reference": 43.132715, "distance_from_trend": 0.03054, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 43.528005, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.021182, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -27.214294, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.007955, "excess_performance": -0.353687, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.03054, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021645, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.021182, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066319, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.272143, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.135865, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.007955, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.19773, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 496120, "relative_activity": 0.536657, "balance": 3.19773, "dry_up": 0.841992, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048183, "annualized_volatility": 0.187419, "from_high_reference": -0.087128, "from_low_reference": 0.115614 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.132715, "fair_value_reference": 43.528005, "structural_low": 39.843536, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.001709, "positive_rate": 0.347826, "directional_follow_through": 0.347826, "median_excess_return": -0.015837, "regime_survival": 0.608696, "best_return": 0.10888, "worst_return": -0.073066, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.006683, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.043762, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.212766, "worst_return": -0.057916, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.019078, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.017641, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.161711, "worst_return": -0.099145, "sufficient": true 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"stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.41341, "energy": 9.975628, "activity_lines": [ 42.648765, 42.638321, 42.36395, 42.618534 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 43.799999, "volume": 1411871, "typical_volume": 913424.15, "trend": 43.172688, "fair_value": 43.413813, "relative_strength": -30.137396, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.914055, "energy": 3.259755, "activity_lines": [ 42.926094, 42.860818, 42.49603, 42.655935 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 44.450001, "volume": 496120, "typical_volume": 924464.65, "trend": 43.132715, "fair_value": 43.528005, "relative_strength": -27.214294, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.287579, "energy": 12.847078, "activity_lines": [ 43.396667, 43.18234, 42.686112, 42.738342 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }