{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b599396f-a95d-47ed-aeba-476a0267a704", "symbol": "ROKU", "name": "Roku, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.659, "architecture_energy": 91.54, "architecture_maturity": 55.437, "architecture_confidence": 90.693, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.51, "rotation_up": 65.93, "upward_expansion": 97.62, "deceleration": 41.84, "rotation_down": 25.64, "downward_expansion": 21.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 2513.198665, 2459.98726, 2333.783796, 2195.2653 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2534.0, "trend_reference": 2022.495325, "distance_from_trend": 0.252908, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1561.685959, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.622605, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 27.474596, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.701813, "excess_performance": 0.75648, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.252908, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091945, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.622605, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125889, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.274746, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.141688, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.701813, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.66457, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 142, "relative_activity": 1.080259, "balance": 0.66457, "dry_up": 0.789273, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024731, "annualized_volatility": 0.348835, "from_high_reference": -0.001182, "from_low_reference": 0.817895 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2022.495325, "fair_value_reference": 1561.685959, "structural_low": 1393.920044, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.018104, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.020831, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.166041, "worst_return": -0.260784, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.075371, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.179903, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.157491, "worst_return": -0.318338, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.018153, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.025298, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.251439, "worst_return": -0.031359, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": 88.399765, "energy": 95.822596, "activity_lines": [ 2452.973307, 2365.651798, 2222.258793, 2094.485901 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2450.0, "volume": 5, "typical_volume": 145.0, "trend": 1984.895325, "fair_value": 1547.351536, "relative_strength": 26.118073, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.539492, "energy": 88.470916, "activity_lines": [ 2461.049984, 2392.490891, 2257.429032, 2125.468998 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2537.0, "volume": 248, "typical_volume": 157.4, "trend": 2004.261991, "fair_value": 1554.109036, "relative_strength": 28.565268, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.29091, "energy": 93.116167, "activity_lines": [ 2493.12666, 2429.875439, 2297.599271, 2161.088655 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2534.0, "volume": 142, "typical_volume": 131.45, "trend": 2022.495325, "fair_value": 1561.685959, "relative_strength": 27.474596, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.658904, "energy": 91.5401, "activity_lines": [ 2513.198665, 2459.98726, 2333.783796, 2195.2653 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }