{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b5b06544-d61d-40b3-b7a6-f169cce48acf", "symbol": "ALLLN", "name": "LleidaNetworks Serveis Telem\u00e0tics, S.A.", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 21.585, "architecture_energy": 35.192, "architecture_maturity": 38.128, "architecture_confidence": 65.214, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.41, "rotation_up": 64.65, "upward_expansion": 41.91, "deceleration": 44.5, "rotation_down": 14.1, "downward_expansion": 16.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.166, 1.123455, 1.105762, 1.115806 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.11, "trend_reference": 1.140333, "distance_from_trend": -0.0266, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.149109, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.034034, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.938517, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.051282, "excess_performance": -0.104593, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.0266, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079139, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.034034, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006514, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.199385, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058693, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.051282, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.787578, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 38881, "relative_activity": 6.001358, "balance": 0.787578, "dry_up": 3.477704, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060291, "annualized_volatility": 0.301687, "from_high_reference": -0.383333, "from_low_reference": 0.088235 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.140333, "fair_value_reference": 1.149109, "structural_low": 1.02, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.110475, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.102151, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.042553, "worst_return": -0.266129, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.176635, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.196056, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.048387, "worst_return": -0.376914, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.260209, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.254041, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.015385, "worst_return": -0.509084, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.076923, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.033333, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.107143, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.079365, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.215517, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": 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{ "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 1.06, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2484.75, "trend": 1.166667, "fair_value": 1.159622, "relative_strength": -22.976484, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.441947, "energy": 66.642054, "activity_lines": [ 1.04, 1.050182, 1.086667, 1.11714 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.06, "volume": 1698, "typical_volume": 2354.0, "trend": 1.155667, "fair_value": 1.156481, "relative_strength": -21.16943, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.934443, "energy": 63.353566, "activity_lines": [ 1.048, 1.048364, 1.081524, 1.110258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.11, "volume": 7240, "typical_volume": 2610.7, "trend": 1.147, "fair_value": 1.15334, "relative_strength": -17.236554, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.141879, "energy": 33.579715, "activity_lines": [ 1.071333, 1.057455, 1.08181, 1.107312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.18, "volume": 7056, "typical_volume": 2863.0, "trend": 1.144667, "fair_value": 1.151801, "relative_strength": -11.958105, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 8.802052, "energy": 28.785841, "activity_lines": [ 1.112, 1.080182, 1.089095, 1.109441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.28, "volume": 36947, "typical_volume": 4626.6, "trend": 1.146667, "fair_value": 1.150904, "relative_strength": -5.881294, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 54.11206, "energy": 55.018448, "activity_lines": [ 1.175333, 1.119273, 1.10581, 1.118172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.11, "volume": 38881, "typical_volume": 6478.7, "trend": 1.140333, "fair_value": 1.149109, "relative_strength": -19.938517, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 21.585302, "energy": 35.192122, "activity_lines": [ 1.166, 1.123455, 1.105762, 1.115806 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }