{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b5bfc109-b3a4-43ce-a048-67b0053408dd", "symbol": "NITINSPIN", "name": "Nitin Spinners Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.043, "architecture_energy": 51.502, "architecture_maturity": 67.599, "architecture_confidence": 64.627, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.06, "rotation_up": 43.9, "upward_expansion": 72.34, "deceleration": 73.85, "rotation_down": 28.89, "downward_expansion": 12.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 554.166675, 553.512732, 529.968574, 495.494518 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 577.400024, "trend_reference": 448.003335, "distance_from_trend": 0.28883, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 370.759583, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.557343, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 45.601313, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.696988, "excess_performance": 0.740697, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.28883, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.208245, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.557343, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.171385, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.456013, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065426, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.696988, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.679975, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 596512, "relative_activity": 0.961294, "balance": 4.679975, "dry_up": 0.653032, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067797, "annualized_volatility": 0.327407, "from_high_reference": -0.021356, "from_low_reference": 0.910655 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 448.003335, "fair_value_reference": 370.759583, "structural_low": 324.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.072739, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.081479, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.282374, "worst_return": -0.120536, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.171954, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.169607, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.236667, "worst_return": -0.208477, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.09643, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.148205, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.520489, "worst_return": -0.183203, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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63.112808, "activity_lines": [ 554.543339, 542.882729, 499.877859, 463.564517 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 550.349976, "volume": 421260, "typical_volume": 647744.4, "trend": 424.421666, "fair_value": 364.620851, "relative_strength": 44.35715, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.841615, "energy": 56.900881, "activity_lines": [ 552.31333, 546.765452, 508.483095, 472.180322 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 535.200012, "volume": 221837, "typical_volume": 617961.7, "trend": 431.673334, "fair_value": 366.590493, "relative_strength": 42.47263, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.129794, "energy": 45.668377, "activity_lines": [ 545.633333, 546.627273, 514.832143, 479.327312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 544.0, "volume": 381295, "typical_volume": 613281.7, "trend": 439.135001, "fair_value": 368.599314, "relative_strength": 39.865411, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.674586, "energy": 40.173791, "activity_lines": [ 544.119999, 547.438182, 521.247858, 486.574194 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 577.400024, "volume": 596512, "typical_volume": 620530.35, "trend": 448.003335, "fair_value": 370.759583, "relative_strength": 45.601313, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.042922, "energy": 51.501701, "activity_lines": [ 554.166675, 553.512732, 529.968574, 495.494518 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }