{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b5d67728-1d26-4cc3-be3f-da24a7f76354",
    "symbol": "C1FG34",
    "name": "Citizens Financial Group, Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 96.241,
    "architecture_energy": 98.435,
    "architecture_maturity": 11.804,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.002,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.58,
        "rotation_up": 88.32,
        "upward_expansion": 97.6,
        "deceleration": 41.85,
        "rotation_down": 8.01,
        "downward_expansion": 21.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        359.307752,
        351.949915,
        340.003401,
        338.217734
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 369.26001,
    "trend_reference": 336.439345,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.097553,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 235.179782,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.570118,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 13.97411,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.048342,
    "excess_performance": 0.10539,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097553,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047592,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.570118,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.092338,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.139741,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.189019,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048342,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1,
      "relative_activity": 0.125,
      "balance": 3.0,
      "dry_up": 0.09375,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.014056,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.195567,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.443377
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 336.439345,
      "fair_value_reference": 235.179782,
      "structural_low": 307.019989,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.448276,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.448276,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012977,
        "regime_survival": 0.655172,
        "best_return": 0.174453,
        "worst_return": -0.194933,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.04258,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008038,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.245663,
        "worst_return": -0.416939,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.032315,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.136665,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.591872,
        "worst_return": -0.396249,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.003077,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.21173,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.720742,
        "worst_return": -0.363514,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.043894,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.076527,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.156557,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.082976,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "return": 0.027708,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
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        "fair_value": 215.844859,
        "relative_strength": -6.660565,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -21.309772,
        "energy": 51.55974,
        "activity_lines": [
          322.587575,
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          334.552829,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 320.959991,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 19.3,
        "trend": 315.932671,
        "fair_value": 217.190618,
        "relative_strength": -4.927819,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -12.975626,
        "energy": 56.395863,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 19.3,
        "trend": 318.030198,
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        "relative_strength": -1.554201,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -13.077507,
        "energy": 69.067713,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 19.3,
        "trend": 319.753904,
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        "relative_strength": -1.126296,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "direction": -11.376909,
        "energy": 67.660029,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 19.35,
        "trend": 321.15483,
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        "relative_strength": -2.385921,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -53.345431,
        "energy": 79.638678,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 312.959991,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 19.35,
        "trend": 322.468315,
        "fair_value": 222.253067,
        "relative_strength": 0.184848,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -56.136525,
        "energy": 62.929594,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 19.35,
        "trend": 323.826347,
        "fair_value": 223.471854,
        "relative_strength": -1.223747,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 60.788789,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 326.117734,
        "fair_value": 224.967205,
        "relative_strength": 10.651757,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 15.818398,
        "energy": 16.911186,
        "activity_lines": [
          324.806659,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 345.313477,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 14.1,
        "trend": 328.356237,
        "fair_value": 226.46149,
        "relative_strength": 6.743902,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 37.347583,
        "energy": 40.558362,
        "activity_lines": [
          332.795154,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 345.313477,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 7.85,
        "trend": 330.59474,
        "fair_value": 227.939727,
        "relative_strength": 5.942863,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 50.448699,
        "energy": 55.204623,
        "activity_lines": [
          339.160083,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 345.313477,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 7.85,
        "trend": 331.569487,
        "fair_value": 229.417963,
        "relative_strength": 3.693575,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 47.3329,
        "energy": 61.538338,
        "activity_lines": [
          343.368114,
          334.034975,
          330.51005,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 345.313477,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 7.85,
        "trend": 332.374634,
        "fair_value": 230.78532,
        "relative_strength": 6.200667,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.781166,
        "energy": 78.441701,
        "activity_lines": [
          345.419245,
          337.099237,
          331.741535,
          332.757731
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 357.258606,
        "volume": 2,
        "typical_volume": 7.95,
        "trend": 333.577951,
        "fair_value": 232.229247,
        "relative_strength": 9.611771,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.27179,
        "energy": 94.055975,
        "activity_lines": [
          349.295187,
          341.89255,
          334.116263,
          334.363148
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 358.899994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 7.95,
        "trend": 334.835981,
        "fair_value": 233.671309,
        "relative_strength": 7.639313,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.556526,
        "energy": 97.254867,
        "activity_lines": [
          353.027684,
          346.324322,
          336.596041,
          335.996829
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 369.26001,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 8.0,
        "trend": 336.439345,
        "fair_value": 235.179782,
        "relative_strength": 13.97411,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 96.241225,
        "energy": 98.434829,
        "activity_lines": [
          359.307752,
          351.949915,
          340.003401,
          338.217734
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}