{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b5da4210-f43b-42ac-90ad-ee0015ec7a22", "symbol": "DPRO", "name": "Draganfly Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.786, "architecture_energy": 59.715, "architecture_maturity": 28.456, "architecture_confidence": 85.151, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.11, "rotation_up": 12.29, "upward_expansion": 11.5, "deceleration": 40.84, "rotation_down": 69.5, "downward_expansion": 87.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.375333, 4.669818, 5.184952, 5.45828 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 4.65, "trend_reference": 6.0445, "distance_from_trend": -0.230706, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.721514, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.308192, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -39.163675, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.379586, "excess_performance": -0.56704, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.230706, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.123202, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.308192, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04539, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.391637, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.141059, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.379586, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.790878, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2848582, "relative_activity": 0.384389, "balance": 0.790878, "dry_up": 0.483691, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.21827, "annualized_volatility": 0.778892, "from_high_reference": -0.677083, "from_low_reference": 0.229963 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.0445, "fair_value_reference": 6.721514, "structural_low": 3.7806, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 42, "median_return": -0.063561, "positive_rate": 0.380952, "directional_follow_through": 0.619048, "median_excess_return": -0.063531, "regime_survival": 0.809524, "best_return": 0.928571, "worst_return": -0.603231, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.106904, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.21486, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.846076, "worst_return": -0.690855, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.425, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.334457, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 4.509174, "worst_return": -0.766423, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -42.224464, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.026214, "energy": 71.998677, "activity_lines": [ 4.497333, 5.04, 5.391238, 5.698839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.14, "volume": 3906090, "typical_volume": 7750958.55, "trend": 6.205833, "fair_value": 6.840729, "relative_strength": -43.311342, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.699268, "energy": 71.201629, "activity_lines": [ 4.322, 4.787818, 5.258571, 5.558656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.65, "volume": 2848582, "typical_volume": 7410678.25, "trend": 6.0445, "fair_value": 6.721514, "relative_strength": -39.163675, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.786227, "energy": 59.714655, "activity_lines": [ 4.375333, 4.669818, 5.184952, 5.45828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }