{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b5dfb671-f4ae-448f-9ba5-bfdcc8ed4068",
    "symbol": "BETZ",
    "name": "LISTED FUND TRUST ROUNDHILL SPORTS BETTING AND IGAMING ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 72.451,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 31.507,
    "architecture_energy": 13.933,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.9,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.235,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 62.02,
        "rotation_up": 28.67,
        "upward_expansion": 57.53,
        "deceleration": 85.63,
        "rotation_down": 21.63,
        "downward_expansion": 12.2
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        19.091667,
        19.14684,
        19.057509,
        18.877993
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 19.0601,
    "trend_reference": 18.705547,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.018954,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 18.432268,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.034062,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -15.194141,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.049565,
    "excess_performance": -0.07606,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018954,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020539,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034062,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006821,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.151941,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04539,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049565,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.291217,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 51117,
      "relative_activity": 0.358101,
      "balance": 0.291217,
      "dry_up": 0.38964,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045378,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.215995,
      "from_high_reference": -0.21813,
      "from_low_reference": 0.117894
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 18.705547,
      "fair_value_reference": 18.432268,
      "structural_low": 17.05,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.029079,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011467,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.113314,
        "worst_return": -0.041999,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.088373,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.055236,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.237851,
        "worst_return": -0.012963,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.116513,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.046432,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.286893,
        "worst_return": -0.018509,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.057888,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.1028,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.196768,
        "worst_return": -0.048816,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.067207,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.02832,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.043156,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.087505,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.094877,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.081578,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027649,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.061148,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.042401,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": true
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    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 70003.0,
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        "relative_strength": -21.623139,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 14.131046,
        "activity_lines": [
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -17.374966,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 64401.45,
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        "relative_strength": -11.633629,
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      },
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": -15.227989,
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 144964.25,
        "trend": 18.94887,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 21.083175,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 19.1788,
        "volume": 63714,
        "typical_volume": 142757.75,
        "trend": 18.889109,
        "fair_value": 18.395339,
        "relative_strength": -13.208791,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.706844,
        "energy": 12.57865,
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          19.202267,
          19.179784,
          18.990207,
          18.836797
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 18.9171,
        "volume": 74035,
        "typical_volume": 143893.9,
        "trend": 18.814247,
        "fair_value": 18.404249,
        "relative_strength": -13.257662,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.175346,
        "energy": 17.876729,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.110047,
          19.160487,
          19.00525,
          18.838603
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 19.1189,
        "volume": 33610,
        "typical_volume": 142464.2,
        "trend": 18.75421,
        "fair_value": 18.417049,
        "relative_strength": -12.607755,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.45136,
        "energy": 17.282243,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.121953,
          19.165229,
          19.036594,
          18.858258
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 19.0601,
        "volume": 51117,
        "typical_volume": 142744.75,
        "trend": 18.705547,
        "fair_value": 18.432268,
        "relative_strength": -15.194141,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.50652,
        "energy": 13.933167,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.091667,
          19.14684,
          19.057509,
          18.877993
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}