{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b5f7b81c-a735-4d6a-b25f-d3a8b355d521", "symbol": "CRBP", "name": "Corbus Pharmaceuticals Holding", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 71.661, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.542, "architecture_energy": 20.443, "architecture_maturity": 22.133, "architecture_confidence": 41.139, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.78, "rotation_up": 46.1, "upward_expansion": 59.09, "deceleration": 58.84, "rotation_down": 12.6, "downward_expansion": 11.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.462667, 9.215818, 9.314238, 9.276946 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 10.17, "trend_reference": 9.086667, "distance_from_trend": 0.119222, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.126474, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.406183, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.615705, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.298851, "excess_performance": 0.111397, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.119222, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030962, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.406183, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049368, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.116157, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050255, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.298851, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.183209, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1148041, "relative_activity": 0.58725, "balance": 1.183209, "dry_up": 0.651763, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.142657, "annualized_volatility": 0.7306, "from_high_reference": -0.50535, "from_low_reference": 0.428371 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.086667, "fair_value_reference": 17.126474, "structural_low": 7.12, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.118367, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.054038, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 3.366013, "worst_return": -0.432459, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.068256, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.020023, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 5.531046, "worst_return": -0.401163, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.206802, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.005976, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 7.220588, "worst_return": -0.674942, "sufficient": false 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"regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.094522, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.196757, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.323897, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.048019, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.229746, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.05102, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.278285, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.092593, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.058352, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.05062, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 6.99, "volume": 50710, "typical_volume": 236437.2, "trend": 7.121867, "fair_value": 27.661013, "relative_strength": 3.666457, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", 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20.336094, "activity_lines": [ 8.662, 8.912545, 9.298476, 9.137204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 9.68, "volume": 1729994, "typical_volume": 1927274.85, "trend": 8.930333, "fair_value": 17.059359, "relative_strength": -17.137358, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.119771, "energy": 11.823474, "activity_lines": [ 9.088667, 8.971636, 9.339952, 9.185527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.01, "volume": 1418386, "typical_volume": 1944005.85, "trend": 8.96, "fair_value": 17.073269, "relative_strength": -19.308956, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.869015, "energy": 8.559093, "activity_lines": [ 9.150667, 8.920182, 9.306857, 9.190667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.17, "volume": 1257614, "typical_volume": 1955535.85, "trend": 8.988, "fair_value": 17.089744, "relative_strength": -16.242056, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 9.31106, "energy": 10.664264, "activity_lines": [ 9.211333, 8.933273, 9.286905, 9.204215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.97, "volume": 1272603, "typical_volume": 1940240.0, "trend": 9.024667, "fair_value": 17.104231, "relative_strength": -18.139531, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 9.396399, "energy": 8.01378, "activity_lines": [ 9.144667, 8.943818, 9.242381, 9.203054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.17, "volume": 1148041, "typical_volume": 1954944.2, "trend": 9.086667, "fair_value": 17.126474, "relative_strength": -11.615705, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.542332, "energy": 20.442815, "activity_lines": [ 9.462667, 9.215818, 9.314238, 9.276946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }