{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b5f80240-6b95-4861-8916-bb64fa5fe544",
    "symbol": "TIETOS",
    "name": "Tieto Oyj",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 68.434,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -15.213,
    "architecture_energy": 18.655,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.952,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.767,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.91,
        "rotation_up": 19.12,
        "upward_expansion": 14.75,
        "deceleration": 64.74,
        "rotation_down": 49.54,
        "downward_expansion": 39.75
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        198.493333,
        200.010908,
        204.590951,
        203.914187
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 200.0,
    "trend_reference": 202.546515,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.012572,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 205.066415,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.024706,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -8.981789,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.078933,
    "excess_performance": 0.017438,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012572,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010394,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024706,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017816,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089818,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.103596,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078933,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.63871,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 36022,
      "relative_activity": 1.173789,
      "balance": 0.63871,
      "dry_up": 1.206293,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.060577,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.30586,
      "from_high_reference": -0.131944,
      "from_low_reference": 0.216428
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 202.546515,
      "fair_value_reference": 205.066415,
      "structural_low": 173.0,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.013263,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020852,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.005146,
        "worst_return": -0.018012,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.007205,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025913,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.040595,
        "worst_return": -0.09748,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.12076,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.083498,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.043402,
        "worst_return": -0.241228,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.070604,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011551,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.114793,
        "worst_return": -0.296256,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.029698,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.038835,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.039347,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.020388,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.036592,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.056069,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.084097,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.023529,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.003688,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.00813,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.113349,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.117674,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.011917,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.015228,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "relative_strength": -7.610869,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 45942.7,
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        "relative_strength": 4.879423,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 207.725581,
        "relative_strength": -0.297825,
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        "direction": 41.330719,
        "energy": 27.22469,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 3074,
        "typical_volume": 33530.45,
        "trend": 202.779619,
        "fair_value": 207.186106,
        "relative_strength": -10.043489,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 39066,
        "typical_volume": 32540.45,
        "trend": 202.575076,
        "fair_value": 206.651953,
        "relative_strength": -9.075135,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.531669,
        "energy": 28.899649,
        "activity_lines": [
          200.826664,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 190.699997,
        "volume": 49608,
        "typical_volume": 32255.9,
        "trend": 202.307168,
        "fair_value": 206.240086,
        "relative_strength": -8.96995,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.272765,
        "energy": 34.777583,
        "activity_lines": [
          196.026664,
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          205.833725,
          204.394185
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 197.0,
        "volume": 25075,
        "typical_volume": 31057.4,
        "trend": 202.442145,
        "fair_value": 205.79066,
        "relative_strength": -7.419486,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.70327,
        "energy": 35.46174,
        "activity_lines": [
          195.306665,
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          204.051787
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 203.0,
        "volume": 37373,
        "typical_volume": 30492.8,
        "trend": 202.690656,
        "fair_value": 205.440039,
        "relative_strength": -5.877966,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -17.927134,
        "energy": 32.11065,
        "activity_lines": [
          197.119999,
          201.105453,
          205.01931,
          204.087778
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 200.0,
        "volume": 36022,
        "typical_volume": 30688.65,
        "trend": 202.546515,
        "fair_value": 205.066415,
        "relative_strength": -8.981789,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -15.212994,
        "energy": 18.654997,
        "activity_lines": [
          198.493333,
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          203.914187
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}