{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b6045b68-01d3-4d73-8970-5837efe45dac", "symbol": "CREO", "name": "Creo Medical Group PLC", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 57.575, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -13.933, "architecture_energy": 13.091, "architecture_maturity": 18.143, "architecture_confidence": 46.121, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.01, "rotation_up": 21.4, "upward_expansion": 26.96, "deceleration": 63.21, "rotation_down": 47.46, "downward_expansion": 26.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.133083, 0.135864, 0.134518, 0.134054 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.1275, "trend_reference": 0.135125, "distance_from_trend": -0.056429, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.215564, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.408529, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.659484, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.28169, "excess_performance": -0.332925, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.056429, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087146, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.408529, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042795, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.066595, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014373, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.28169, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.336376, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1378228, "relative_activity": 0.535062, "balance": 0.336376, "dry_up": 0.814573, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091897, "annualized_volatility": 0.52278, "from_high_reference": -0.310811, "from_low_reference": 0.339286 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.135125, "fair_value_reference": 0.215564, "structural_low": 0.10266, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.03259, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.037386, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.319588, "worst_return": -0.135135, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.103758, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.137363, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.314286, "worst_return": -0.170543, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.113325, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.250201, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.27619, "worst_return": 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}, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.1325, "volume": 1005179, "typical_volume": 2722679.6, "trend": 0.134542, "fair_value": 0.216911, "relative_strength": -3.111048, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 2.05782, "energy": 4.712007, "activity_lines": [ 0.137083, 0.137773, 0.134798, 0.134508 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.1275, "volume": 1378228, "typical_volume": 2575827.4, "trend": 0.135125, "fair_value": 0.215564, "relative_strength": -6.659484, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -13.932622, "energy": 13.091196, "activity_lines": [ 0.133083, 0.135864, 0.134518, 0.134054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }