{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b617614b-487f-41b9-921f-b19b981758ae", "symbol": "AAIF", "name": "Aberdeen Asian Income Fund Limited", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 67.792, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 7.863, "architecture_energy": 18.205, "architecture_maturity": 54.73, "architecture_confidence": 91.299, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.23, "rotation_up": 16.24, "upward_expansion": 40.92, "deceleration": 87.35, "rotation_down": 40.11, "downward_expansion": 32.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 309.2842, 315.873447, 317.211931, 311.004963 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 309.0, "trend_reference": 302.183994, "distance_from_trend": 0.022556, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 233.855089, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.321331, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.601805, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.103733, "excess_performance": 0.037454, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.022556, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075574, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.321331, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101815, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.016018, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.158659, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.103733, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.179793, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1003980, "relative_activity": 0.844621, "balance": 1.179793, "dry_up": 1.25413, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057731, "annualized_volatility": 0.247999, "from_high_reference": -0.101744, "from_low_reference": 0.338297 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 302.183994, "fair_value_reference": 233.855089, "structural_low": 259.962007, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.016402, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.006685, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.091735, "worst_return": -0.018605, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.048786, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.024241, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.187934, "worst_return": -0.011508, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.014127, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.032713, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.272764, "worst_return": -0.06489, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": 4.204429, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.662172, "energy": 20.967917, "activity_lines": [ 316.498233, 322.243945, 317.706814, 310.185166 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 304.0, "volume": 1844951, "typical_volume": 1220308.85, "trend": 300.847912, "fair_value": 233.173251, "relative_strength": 0.461079, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.407751, "energy": 17.076067, "activity_lines": [ 311.284333, 318.476878, 317.273756, 310.479022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 309.0, "volume": 1003980, "typical_volume": 1188675.4, "trend": 302.183994, "fair_value": 233.855089, "relative_strength": 1.601805, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.863205, "energy": 18.205102, "activity_lines": [ 309.2842, 315.873447, 317.211931, 311.004963 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }