{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b61f344a-6e40-460d-9fba-3c8f00078f07",
    "symbol": "PXU-F",
    "name": "Invesco RAFI U.S. Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 92.11,
    "architecture_energy": 86.233,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.564,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.907,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.17,
        "rotation_up": 68.5,
        "upward_expansion": 95.01,
        "deceleration": 43.69,
        "rotation_down": 28.79,
        "downward_expansion": 17.01
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        79.752614
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 84.059998,
    "trend_reference": 77.853519,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.07972,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 63.687018,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.319892,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.621981,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.103372,
    "excess_performance": -0.017049,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07972,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04904,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.319892,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028275,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00622,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00567,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103372,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.190789,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1100,
      "relative_activity": 0.226804,
      "balance": 1.190789,
      "dry_up": 1.082474,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.010365,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.088095,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004028,
      "from_low_reference": 0.287032
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 77.853519,
      "fair_value_reference": 63.687018,
      "structural_low": 71.18,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.00795,
        "positive_rate": 0.615385,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008019,
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        "worst_return": -0.092757,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.058877,
        "sufficient": true
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "trend": 72.473493,
        "fair_value": 60.580444,
        "relative_strength": -1.635522,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 4429.65,
        "trend": 73.149175,
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        "relative_strength": 0.054974,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 4410.0,
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        "fair_value": 61.190553,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 4395.0,
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        "fair_value": 61.404472,
        "relative_strength": 1.209182,
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        "direction": 87.179255,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 3100,
        "typical_volume": 4475.0,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 74.627976,
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        "relative_strength": 2.908145,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 4750.0,
        "trend": 75.023314,
        "fair_value": 62.041901,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 75.755927,
        "fair_value": 62.456,
        "relative_strength": 0.864332,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 76.109741,
        "fair_value": 62.66642,
        "relative_strength": 1.189481,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 1400,
        "typical_volume": 4180.0,
        "trend": 76.438097,
        "fair_value": 62.872417,
        "relative_strength": 1.399331,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.640989,
        "energy": 76.996382,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 82.260002,
        "volume": 13800,
        "typical_volume": 4725.0,
        "trend": 76.800223,
        "fair_value": 63.07243,
        "relative_strength": 1.454284,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.855773,
        "energy": 80.6859,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.067384,
          81.76338,
          80.070464,
          78.603406
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 82.57,
        "volume": 2700,
        "typical_volume": 4835.0,
        "trend": 77.149495,
        "fair_value": 63.271541,
        "relative_strength": 1.59792,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.758399,
        "energy": 77.165817,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.297133,
          81.984195,
          80.495577,
          78.97565
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 82.650002,
        "volume": 3400,
        "typical_volume": 4920.0,
        "trend": 77.517556,
        "fair_value": 63.473378,
        "relative_strength": 2.137215,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.943292,
        "energy": 79.580155,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.474668,
          82.155976,
          80.889165,
          79.330521
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 84.059998,
        "volume": 1100,
        "typical_volume": 4850.0,
        "trend": 77.853519,
        "fair_value": 63.687018,
        "relative_strength": 0.621981,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.110074,
        "energy": 86.233333,
        "activity_lines": [
          83.032,
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          81.367688,
          79.752614
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}