{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b623909c-e6e6-4878-876f-bc4cd65142b3", "symbol": "V", "name": "Visa Inc. Class A", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 70.311, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 69.818, "architecture_energy": 77.201, "architecture_maturity": 14.831, "architecture_confidence": 75.151, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.9, "rotation_up": 76.43, "upward_expansion": 95.83, "deceleration": 40.15, "rotation_down": 12.57, "downward_expansion": 17.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 360.688667, 354.099455, 341.65049, 333.704759 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 362.5, "trend_reference": 326.464168, "distance_from_trend": 0.110382, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 303.569204, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.194126, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.945466, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.097731, "excess_performance": -0.027894, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.110382, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007199, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.194126, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.112512, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.029455, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.128424, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.097731, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.468701, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29219044, "relative_activity": 0.779834, "balance": 1.468701, "dry_up": 0.956012, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042241, "annualized_volatility": 0.209967, "from_high_reference": -0.030671, "from_low_reference": 0.235986 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 326.464168, "fair_value_reference": 303.569204, "structural_low": 293.288006, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.00122, "positive_rate": 0.48, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": -0.007771, "regime_survival": 0.72, "best_return": 0.131, "worst_return": -0.093218, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.024209, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.002627, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.117321, "worst_return": -0.033053, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.027185, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.120874, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.138233, "worst_return": -0.087359, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"direction": 75.132437, "energy": 80.368786, "activity_lines": [ 351.651333, 341.986182, 331.229772, 326.745372 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 355.74, "volume": 26932819, "typical_volume": 37449765.1, "trend": 325.290106, "fair_value": 301.902815, "relative_strength": -0.799913, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.35435, "energy": 78.737919, "activity_lines": [ 354.689333, 345.573818, 334.377439, 328.714588 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 366.13, "volume": 45208116, "typical_volume": 38091818.35, "trend": 325.992247, "fair_value": 302.752343, "relative_strength": 1.220779, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.655645, "energy": 82.742886, "activity_lines": [ 359.290667, 350.505273, 338.328772, 331.34942 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 362.5, "volume": 29219044, "typical_volume": 37468292.0, "trend": 326.464168, "fair_value": 303.569204, "relative_strength": -2.945466, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.81829, "energy": 77.201277, "activity_lines": [ 360.688667, 354.099455, 341.65049, 333.704759 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }