{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b6302e38-83a3-431a-8f83-8958e5092fd3",
    "symbol": "DGTL",
    "name": "iShares Digitalisation UCITS ETF USD (Acc)",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 85.815,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.675,
    "architecture_energy": 83.098,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.57,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.201,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.23,
        "rotation_up": 74.86,
        "upward_expansion": 92.88,
        "deceleration": 46.25,
        "rotation_down": 17.09,
        "downward_expansion": 17.22
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        9.840073,
        9.542,
        9.266006
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 10.302,
    "trend_reference": 9.000333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.144624,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 8.870827,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.161335,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.090506,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.227598,
    "excess_performance": 0.056706,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.144624,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.010906,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.161335,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13027,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050905,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.112045,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.227598,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 18.35215,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 161731,
      "relative_activity": 1.908084,
      "balance": 18.35215,
      "dry_up": 2.449731,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.028949,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.196408,
      "from_high_reference": -0.016234,
      "from_low_reference": 0.3062
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.000333,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.870827,
      "structural_low": 7.887,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": 0.003734,
        "positive_rate": 0.56,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.56,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006388,
        "regime_survival": 0.72,
        "best_return": 0.125461,
        "worst_return": -0.138214,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.179733,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.012629,
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.272977,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 72188.9,
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 71777.6,
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        "fair_value": 8.799654,
        "relative_strength": -8.88653,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 86.140037,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 590654,
        "typical_volume": 91443.25,
        "trend": 8.9403,
        "fair_value": 8.817115,
        "relative_strength": -6.583057,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.751911,
        "energy": 91.10252,
        "activity_lines": [
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          9.273271,
          9.069327
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 9.769,
        "volume": 40251,
        "typical_volume": 83109.4,
        "trend": 8.9553,
        "fair_value": 8.832859,
        "relative_strength": -7.526105,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.356352,
        "energy": 85.737639,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.811067,
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          9.349514,
          9.122791
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.849,
        "volume": 37930,
        "typical_volume": 78300.45,
        "trend": 8.975867,
        "fair_value": 8.850083,
        "relative_strength": -6.946334,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.537521,
        "energy": 82.05372,
        "activity_lines": [
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          9.427648,
          9.180449
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.302,
        "volume": 161731,
        "typical_volume": 84760.95,
        "trend": 9.000333,
        "fair_value": 8.870827,
        "relative_strength": -5.090506,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.675102,
        "energy": 83.097635,
        "activity_lines": [
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          9.840073,
          9.542,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}