{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b6334404-ed38-490c-ab1e-f2cf9952da4e", "symbol": "KMB", "name": "Kimberly-Clark Corporation", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.801, "architecture_energy": 48.535, "architecture_maturity": 47.037, "architecture_confidence": 44.802, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.53, "rotation_up": 50.69, "upward_expansion": 74.6, "deceleration": 71.44, "rotation_down": 22.94, "downward_expansion": 12.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 1906.37334, 1897.234189, 1831.483079, 1809.952516 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1881.52002, "trend_reference": 1792.479313, "distance_from_trend": 0.049675, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2257.467446, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.166535, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.881906, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.02775, "excess_performance": 0.082417, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.049675, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001036, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.166535, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097691, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.048819, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.232762, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.02775, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.536585, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 202, "relative_activity": 0.065596, "balance": 0.536585, "dry_up": 0.027602, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034493, "annualized_volatility": 0.221743, "from_high_reference": -0.22808, "from_low_reference": 0.146063 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1792.479313, "fair_value_reference": 2257.467446, "structural_low": 1641.725376, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.214286, "directional_follow_through": 0.214286, "median_excess_return": -0.008441, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.095901, "worst_return": -0.127207, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.000483, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.03919, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.182058, "worst_return": -0.164292, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.154393, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.124724, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.182649, 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1783.545109, "fair_value": 2265.184293, "relative_strength": -5.425695, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.18201, "energy": 84.256829, "activity_lines": [ 1907.04467, 1866.309972, 1803.856537, 1792.383428 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1963.0, "volume": 62, "typical_volume": 3075.7, "trend": 1788.654045, "fair_value": 2261.587024, "relative_strength": -1.562062, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.135144, "energy": 70.067936, "activity_lines": [ 1923.6, 1891.400573, 1822.05695, 1803.961163 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1881.52002, "volume": 202, "typical_volume": 3079.45, "trend": 1792.479313, "fair_value": 2257.467446, "relative_strength": -4.881906, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.801118, "energy": 48.534664, "activity_lines": [ 1906.37334, 1897.234189, 1831.483079, 1809.952516 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }