{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b64c24ad-6a49-440b-81f3-7b5a4c8654fa", "symbol": "SDG", "name": "Synergie SE", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 73.433, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 28.885, "architecture_energy": 23.658, "architecture_maturity": 29.959, "architecture_confidence": 51.227, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.98, "rotation_up": 53.27, "upward_expansion": 37.03, "deceleration": 36.63, "rotation_down": 22.02, "downward_expansion": 19.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.073333, 28.616363, 28.651905, 28.547097 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 30.299999, "trend_reference": 28.643333, "distance_from_trend": 0.057838, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 30.960796, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.021343, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.99494, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.006644, "excess_performance": -0.046667, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.057838, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035145, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.021343, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.043798, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.059949, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020792, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.006644, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.056135, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5847, "relative_activity": 0.978455, "balance": 6.056135, "dry_up": 0.656152, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040112, "annualized_volatility": 0.18735, "from_high_reference": -0.141643, "from_low_reference": 0.152091 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.643333, "fair_value_reference": 30.960796, "structural_low": 26.299999, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.009722, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.002783, "regime_survival": 0.619048, "best_return": 0.138889, "worst_return": -0.112781, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.013072, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.02707, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.136118, "worst_return": -0.169769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.030834, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.036102, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.166823, "worst_return": 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"close": 27.799999, "volume": 3214, "typical_volume": 5933.2, "trend": 28.713333, "fair_value": 30.993023, "relative_strength": -11.129798, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.876693, "energy": 43.849673, "activity_lines": [ 27.866666, 28.136363, 28.356667, 28.404731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.299999, "volume": 3178, "typical_volume": 5838.7, "trend": 28.68, "fair_value": 30.973231, "relative_strength": -7.295346, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.489178, "energy": 4.688535, "activity_lines": [ 28.346666, 28.28, 28.461905, 28.442581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.299999, "volume": 5847, "typical_volume": 5975.75, "trend": 28.643333, "fair_value": 30.960796, "relative_strength": -5.99494, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.884774, "energy": 23.657863, "activity_lines": [ 29.073333, 28.616363, 28.651905, 28.547097 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }