{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b65858f2-d259-4c64-b0ef-3ca131a51653", "symbol": "CARD", "name": "BANK OF MONTREAL MAX AUTO INDUSTRY -3X INVERSE LEVERAGED", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.997, "architecture_energy": 37.92, "architecture_maturity": 26.89, "architecture_confidence": 95.881, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.88, "rotation_up": 20.33, "upward_expansion": 4.23, "deceleration": 48.26, "rotation_down": 55.01, "downward_expansion": 79.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.432973, 2.483824, 2.594618, 2.723838 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2.2664, "trend_reference": 2.80016, "distance_from_trend": -0.190618, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.432585, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.759727, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.132317, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.125212, "excess_performance": -0.250837, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.190618, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02785, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.759727, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020245, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.301323, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043404, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.125212, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.539285, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 76909, "relative_activity": 0.805574, "balance": 0.539285, "dry_up": 1.074897, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.186735, "annualized_volatility": 0.670683, "from_high_reference": -0.437618, "from_low_reference": 0.081814 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.80016, "fair_value_reference": 9.432585, "structural_low": 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100768.3, "trend": 2.80245, "fair_value": 9.547931, "relative_strength": -22.915412, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.056516, "energy": 31.51985, "activity_lines": [ 2.507247, 2.536473, 2.648129, 2.758422 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.2664, "volume": 76909, "typical_volume": 95471.05, "trend": 2.80016, "fair_value": 9.432585, "relative_strength": -30.132317, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.997498, "energy": 37.919582, "activity_lines": [ 2.432973, 2.483824, 2.594618, 2.723838 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }