{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b6645c91-3c33-4948-9302-06e23f875377", "symbol": "000059", "name": "North Huajin Chemical Industries Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -32.413, "architecture_energy": 28.839, "architecture_maturity": 85.211, "architecture_confidence": 71.36, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.8, "rotation_up": 33.59, "upward_expansion": 21.26, "deceleration": 46.98, "rotation_down": 19.85, "downward_expansion": 55.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.523333, 4.358545, 4.509762, 4.773226 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 4.59, "trend_reference": 5.115, "distance_from_trend": -0.102639, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.087842, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.097849, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.16449, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.242574, "excess_performance": -0.249974, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.102639, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054237, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.097849, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0894, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.141645, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.078897, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.242574, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.74916, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 97691453, "relative_activity": 0.827416, "balance": 0.74916, "dry_up": 1.317963, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078767, "annualized_volatility": 0.350795, "from_high_reference": -0.334783, "from_low_reference": 0.204724 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.115, "fair_value_reference": 5.087842, "structural_low": 3.81, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.00741, "positive_rate": 0.518519, "directional_follow_through": 0.481481, "median_excess_return": 0.010003, "regime_survival": 0.814815, "best_return": 0.296928, "worst_return": -0.204189, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.014314, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.043808, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.406915, "worst_return": -0.172818, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.042513, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.041136, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.34433, "worst_return": -0.204698, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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149065225.6, "trend": 5.174, "fair_value": 5.119879, "relative_strength": -15.844957, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.589368, "energy": 58.197435, "activity_lines": [ 4.145333, 4.213818, 4.591238, 4.88628 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.5, "volume": 171407311, "typical_volume": 135472416.55, "trend": 5.158, "fair_value": 5.108475, "relative_strength": -13.921521, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.413573, "energy": 41.265783, "activity_lines": [ 4.286, 4.242182, 4.549714, 4.842796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.63, "volume": 115666760, "typical_volume": 122792927.8, "trend": 5.140333, "fair_value": 5.097841, "relative_strength": -9.483736, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.700827, "energy": 26.923621, "activity_lines": [ 4.438, 4.303273, 4.528238, 4.808731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.59, "volume": 97691453, "typical_volume": 118068054.7, "trend": 5.115, "fair_value": 5.087842, "relative_strength": -14.16449, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.41261, "energy": 28.838916, "activity_lines": [ 4.523333, 4.358545, 4.509762, 4.773226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }