{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b66a5e63-58ba-4709-aa15-2c23804c7ec1", "symbol": "PACT", "name": "Proact IT Group AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 21.738, "architecture_energy": 15.144, "architecture_maturity": 64.466, "architecture_confidence": 92.201, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.88, "rotation_up": 22.8, "upward_expansion": 48.44, "deceleration": 84.88, "rotation_down": 26.98, "downward_expansion": 24.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 123.626668, 125.218182, 125.567429, 120.453525 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 125.800003, "trend_reference": 114.109823, "distance_from_trend": 0.102447, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 109.095421, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.153119, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.614947, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.291658, "excess_performance": 0.230164, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.102447, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069661, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.153119, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036711, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.046149, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005984, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.291658, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.552837, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 184423, "relative_activity": 0.801821, "balance": 3.552837, "dry_up": 1.080592, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07142, "annualized_volatility": 0.279549, "from_high_reference": -0.128809, "from_low_reference": 0.461922 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 114.109823, "fair_value_reference": 109.095421, "structural_low": 90.549227, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.008761, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.012014, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.329282, "worst_return": -0.1221, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.043038, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.065507, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.532448, "worst_return": -0.269663, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.152713, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.116606, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.366045, "worst_return": -0.200168, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 233379.5, "trend": 112.833343, "fair_value": 108.106278, "relative_strength": 9.888202, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.659257, "energy": 27.651953, "activity_lines": [ 125.119999, 129.185453, 124.193726, 118.546127 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 120.0, "volume": 111367, "typical_volume": 221100.45, "trend": 113.156614, "fair_value": 108.403473, "relative_strength": 3.551613, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.99976, "energy": 25.425202, "activity_lines": [ 122.946666, 127.141817, 124.4605, 119.008492 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 123.400002, "volume": 406972, "typical_volume": 230077.2, "trend": 113.645371, "fair_value": 108.732109, "relative_strength": 4.864056, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.748952, "energy": 22.529436, "activity_lines": [ 122.866667, 125.858181, 124.958338, 119.669355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 125.800003, "volume": 184423, "typical_volume": 230005.2, "trend": 114.109823, "fair_value": 109.095421, "relative_strength": 4.614947, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.738474, "energy": 15.143731, "activity_lines": [ 123.626668, 125.218182, 125.567429, 120.453525 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }