{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b678c2dc-a0a0-4c11-aacc-5aafa4472d80",
    "symbol": "002911",
    "name": "Foran Energy Group Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -38.209,
    "architecture_energy": 29.646,
    "architecture_maturity": 80.505,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.645,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 29.63,
        "rotation_up": 29.96,
        "upward_expansion": 23.26,
        "deceleration": 46.96,
        "rotation_down": 23.88,
        "downward_expansion": 59.59
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        10.950667,
        10.658545,
        11.019018,
        11.694765
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 10.95,
    "trend_reference": 12.426472,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.118817,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 10.283303,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.064833,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.717882,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.216501,
    "excess_performance": -0.223901,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.118817,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03426,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064833,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.116649,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.127179,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052031,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.216501,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.713163,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 36100431,
      "relative_activity": 1.160414,
      "balance": 0.713163,
      "dry_up": 1.379901,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.062522,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.273585,
      "from_high_reference": -0.372761,
      "from_low_reference": 0.139438
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.426472,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.283303,
      "structural_low": 9.61,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
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        "positive_rate": 0.705882,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.294118,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003813,
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        "worst_return": -0.058436,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      {
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      },
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.13,
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        "typical_volume": 33478617.7,
        "trend": 12.464365,
        "fair_value": 10.254389,
        "relative_strength": -8.220525,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -51.418045,
        "energy": 50.62595,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 11.37,
        "volume": 47787648,
        "typical_volume": 31965408.3,
        "trend": 12.449696,
        "fair_value": 10.269279,
        "relative_strength": -4.757637,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -45.322144,
        "energy": 38.93359,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.95,
        "volume": 36100431,
        "typical_volume": 31109968.55,
        "trend": 12.426472,
        "fair_value": 10.283303,
        "relative_strength": -12.717882,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.208953,
        "energy": 29.646081,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}