{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b68e79a3-8e4f-48ab-87b7-6b6614b52f62", "symbol": "603979", "name": "JCHX Mining Management Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.895, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 39.622, "architecture_energy": 44.273, "architecture_maturity": 25.175, "architecture_confidence": 68.424, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.27, "rotation_up": 57.56, "upward_expansion": 53.11, "deceleration": 29.15, "rotation_down": 24.34, "downward_expansion": 20.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 72.555334, 69.424488, 67.983418, 67.22589 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 79.190002, "trend_reference": 67.99257, "distance_from_trend": 0.164686, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 50.047952, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.582283, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 19.438068, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.002151, "excess_performance": 0.045355, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.164686, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002159, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.582283, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.161402, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.194381, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.17721, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.002151, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.846226, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 46319184, "relative_activity": 1.115915, "balance": 2.846226, "dry_up": 1.16438, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.107992, "annualized_volatility": 0.563424, "from_high_reference": -0.117857, "from_low_reference": 0.674207 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 67.99257, "fair_value_reference": 50.047952, "structural_low": 52.200001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.040246, "positive_rate": 0.647059, "directional_follow_through": 0.647059, "median_excess_return": 0.030231, "regime_survival": 0.588235, "best_return": 0.164292, "worst_return": -0.19487, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.00561, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.087073, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.495935, "worst_return": -0.12688, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.103262, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.169051, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.785559, "worst_return": -0.174046, "sufficient": false }, { 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"method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }