{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b69449a5-8c06-43aa-8899-246fb81a68a9", "symbol": "V3AM", "name": "Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) Distributing", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.782, "architecture_energy": 37.738, "architecture_maturity": 64.73, "architecture_confidence": 89.183, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.52, "rotation_up": 37.04, "upward_expansion": 60.11, "deceleration": 88.24, "rotation_down": 27.42, "downward_expansion": 21.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.9967, 6.004774, 5.946641, 5.826778 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6.138, "trend_reference": 5.687981, "distance_from_trend": 0.079117, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.765988, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.287876, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.742747, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.130971, "excess_performance": 0.079736, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.079117, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037795, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.287876, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021052, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.027427, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02108, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.130971, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.771802, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 90219, "relative_activity": 0.52719, "balance": 1.771802, "dry_up": 0.738796, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024542, "annualized_volatility": 0.143078, "from_high_reference": -0.003733, "from_low_reference": 0.234935 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.687981, "fair_value_reference": 4.765988, "structural_low": 5.063, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of 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"2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.065718, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.095408, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.027483, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.030628, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.072582, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.00362, "active": false }, { "regime": 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50.027485, "energy": 48.648348, "activity_lines": [ 6.006867, 6.007685, 5.876857, 5.76081 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.9435, "volume": 94098, "typical_volume": 168804.55, "trend": 5.650091, "fair_value": 4.737011, "relative_strength": 1.071143, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.061505, "energy": 41.017439, "activity_lines": [ 5.976767, 5.998573, 5.898239, 5.780929 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.89, "volume": 204994, "typical_volume": 174071.55, "trend": 5.667248, "fair_value": 4.750542, "relative_strength": -1.055772, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.163511, "energy": 28.261716, "activity_lines": [ 5.941133, 5.978807, 5.912025, 5.796407 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.138, "volume": 90219, "typical_volume": 171131.85, "trend": 5.687981, "fair_value": 4.765988, "relative_strength": 2.742747, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.781715, "energy": 37.73816, "activity_lines": [ 5.9967, 6.004774, 5.946641, 5.826778 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }