{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b6980319-9fe4-461b-be39-33a6730278e2",
    "symbol": "FCNCA",
    "name": "First Citizens BancShares, Inc.",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 73.192,
    "architecture_energy": 69.069,
    "architecture_maturity": 11.997,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.897,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.31,
        "rotation_up": 74.16,
        "upward_expansion": 92.41,
        "deceleration": 40.75,
        "rotation_down": 12.94,
        "downward_expansion": 14.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2177.19,
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        2044.543682
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 2218.49,
    "trend_reference": 2016.883419,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.099959,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1829.312904,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.212745,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.719267,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.028828,
    "excess_performance": -0.158625,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099959,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019548,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.212745,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108008,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017193,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.147786,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028828,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.105626,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 265072,
      "relative_activity": 0.707924,
      "balance": 5.105626,
      "dry_up": 1.049026,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.04765,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.229051,
      "from_high_reference": -0.031223,
      "from_low_reference": 0.370753
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2016.883419,
      "fair_value_reference": 1829.312904,
      "structural_low": 1757.415916,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": -0.006528,
        "positive_rate": 0.304348,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.304348,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029044,
        "regime_survival": 0.652174,
        "best_return": 0.264074,
        "worst_return": -0.123303,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.042242,
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        "worst_return": -0.12838,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.224185,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "best_return": 0.572402,
        "worst_return": -0.01839,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
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        "return": 0.121116,
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "trend": 2015.283628,
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        "relative_strength": 1.733911,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 60.098529,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
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        "trend": 2016.883419,
        "fair_value": 1829.312904,
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}