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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 51.947, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 78.125, "architecture_energy": 64.036, "architecture_maturity": 7.001, "architecture_confidence": 70.183, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.02, "rotation_up": 68.58, "upward_expansion": 85.29, "deceleration": 48.12, "rotation_down": 12.65, "downward_expansion": 11.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 760905.324, 753414.528, 740853.072048, 736613.971742 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 780085.97, "trend_reference": 734193.469667, "distance_from_trend": 0.062507, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 681306.773974, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.144985, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.037611, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.02297, "excess_performance": -0.102655, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.062507, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00243, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.144985, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062377, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.060376, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075455, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.02297, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.906405, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 706, "relative_activity": 0.755889, "balance": 2.906405, "dry_up": 0.811296, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028526, "annualized_volatility": 0.119612, "from_high_reference": -0.010414, "from_low_reference": 0.121329 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 734193.469667, "fair_value_reference": 681306.773974, 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"fair_value": 681306.773974, "relative_strength": -6.037611, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.124905, "energy": 64.036382, "activity_lines": [ 760905.324, 753414.528, 740853.072048, 736613.971742 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }