{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b6a2a1ff-300f-45ed-bbda-6d4f5425bddb",
    "symbol": "KTF",
    "name": "Mondelez International, Inc.",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 60.409,
    "architecture_energy": 40.777,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.76,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.761,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.43,
        "rotation_up": 57.23,
        "upward_expansion": 77.61,
        "deceleration": 56.53,
        "rotation_down": 17.91,
        "downward_expansion": 4.28
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 54.23,
    "trend_reference": 51.184586,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.059499,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 56.000239,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.031611,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.597607,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.077767,
    "excess_performance": 0.013128,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059499,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043956,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031611,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050892,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005976,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010202,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077767,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.932914,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4179,
      "relative_activity": 1.381191,
      "balance": 0.932914,
      "dry_up": 1.012592,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.041194,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.198074,
      "from_high_reference": -0.063223,
      "from_low_reference": 0.245567
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 51.184586,
      "fair_value_reference": 56.000239,
      "structural_low": 46.742015,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": -0.016176,
        "positive_rate": 0.272727,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.272727,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003892,
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        "best_return": 0.075605,
        "worst_return": -0.064948,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006457,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.095428,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.190313,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 8.329814,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 6959.5,
        "trend": 48.915148,
        "fair_value": 56.82133,
        "relative_strength": -0.526521,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.608812,
        "energy": 34.056764,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.068999,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 4652,
        "typical_volume": 6479.6,
        "trend": 48.903195,
        "fair_value": 56.736551,
        "relative_strength": 0.422636,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.488422,
        "energy": 45.568061,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 51.590096,
        "volume": 6962,
        "typical_volume": 6764.75,
        "trend": 48.876052,
        "fair_value": 56.650307,
        "relative_strength": 1.316115,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.229737,
        "energy": 54.011667,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 52.788483,
        "volume": 3143,
        "typical_volume": 6505.6,
        "trend": 48.926084,
        "fair_value": 56.581559,
        "relative_strength": -0.013522,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.217295,
        "energy": 66.958533,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 52.204144,
        "volume": 2307,
        "typical_volume": 5755.25,
        "trend": 49.029463,
        "fair_value": 56.512102,
        "relative_strength": -1.699466,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.590996,
        "energy": 63.866974,
        "activity_lines": [
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          50.586951,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 53.184647,
        "volume": 325,
        "typical_volume": 5313.75,
        "trend": 49.1812,
        "fair_value": 56.456875,
        "relative_strength": 1.683579,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.663721,
        "energy": 67.035337,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 53.630325,
        "volume": 445,
        "typical_volume": 4834.6,
        "trend": 49.371633,
        "fair_value": 56.404854,
        "relative_strength": 3.263165,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.072738,
        "energy": 71.331986,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 52.630016,
        "volume": 119,
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        "trend": 49.529865,
        "fair_value": 56.34981,
        "relative_strength": 0.234259,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.403005,
        "energy": 57.062287,
        "activity_lines": [
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          50.640378
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 53.729366,
        "volume": 846,
        "typical_volume": 3997.65,
        "trend": 49.69976,
        "fair_value": 56.30189,
        "relative_strength": 3.755682,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.631066,
        "energy": 61.569925,
        "activity_lines": [
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          52.807697,
          51.663678,
          50.911313
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 52.720001,
        "volume": 691,
        "typical_volume": 3883.0,
        "trend": 49.879443,
        "fair_value": 56.252552,
        "relative_strength": -2.266289,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.161745,
        "energy": 44.306478,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.123521,
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          51.829799,
          51.106168
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 51.400002,
        "volume": 4572,
        "typical_volume": 3790.2,
        "trend": 50.073581,
        "fair_value": 56.206268,
        "relative_strength": -1.802421,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.542215,
        "energy": 27.529959,
        "activity_lines": [
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          52.669965,
          51.866261,
          51.204268
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 54.150002,
        "volume": 1518,
        "typical_volume": 3670.35,
        "trend": 50.344854,
        "fair_value": 56.161867,
        "relative_strength": 4.650515,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.052239,
        "energy": 37.642189,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.973251,
          52.953007,
          52.156405,
          51.467263
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 53.150002,
        "volume": 1731,
        "typical_volume": 3389.05,
        "trend": 50.619043,
        "fair_value": 56.100363,
        "relative_strength": 1.884155,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.893965,
        "energy": 29.532369,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.047959,
          53.016152,
          52.337209,
          51.64824
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 54.21,
        "volume": 4827,
        "typical_volume": 3216.6,
        "trend": 50.914025,
        "fair_value": 56.048592,
        "relative_strength": 1.979962,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.932783,
        "energy": 35.96118,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.441335,
          53.243661,
          52.601112,
          51.879915
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 54.23,
        "volume": 4179,
        "typical_volume": 3025.65,
        "trend": 51.184586,
        "fair_value": 56.000239,
        "relative_strength": -0.597607,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.408913,
        "energy": 40.77661,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.809334,
          53.448961,
          52.833857,
          52.093849
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}