{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b6a446da-f9c3-44ab-9b80-056cda45d966", "symbol": "9945", "name": "Ruentex Development Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 89.568, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 63.64, "architecture_energy": 69.58, "architecture_maturity": 27.201, "architecture_confidence": 62.453, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.36, "rotation_up": 79.34, "upward_expansion": 65.36, "deceleration": 20.25, "rotation_down": 17.41, "downward_expansion": 21.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.706666, 26.928947, 25.658585, 25.397785 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 29.799999, "trend_reference": 25.579144, "distance_from_trend": 0.165012, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 32.85315, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.092933, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -22.528632, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.079533, "excess_performance": -0.361839, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.165012, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027977, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.092933, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.250552, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.225286, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.246955, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.079533, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.316748, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 56624689, "relative_activity": 1.518964, "balance": 2.316748, "dry_up": 1.018429, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.05098, "annualized_volatility": 0.268002, "from_high_reference": -0.032953, "from_low_reference": 0.357666 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.579144, "fair_value_reference": 32.85315, "structural_low": 21.949433, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.012719, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.021899, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.064961, "worst_return": -0.037486, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.049576, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.169694, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.046306, "worst_return": -0.052846, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.01923, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.228854, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.265583, "worst_return": -0.227122, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 36203112.65, "trend": 25.523534, "fair_value": 32.880406, "relative_strength": -28.936018, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.157614, "energy": 38.52711, "activity_lines": [ 26.573333, 26.220727, 25.157457, 25.121884 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 29.799999, "volume": 56624689, "typical_volume": 37278486.0, "trend": 25.579144, "fair_value": 32.85315, "relative_strength": -22.528632, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 63.640363, "energy": 69.579911, "activity_lines": [ 27.706666, 26.928947, 25.658585, 25.397785 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }