{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b6a47bbe-2478-4db1-8f81-eda8b0b23929", "symbol": "6830", "name": "Msscorps Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 51.054, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -35.126, "architecture_energy": 51.785, "architecture_maturity": 20.363, "architecture_confidence": 60.471, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.67, "rotation_up": 23.07, "upward_expansion": 18.9, "deceleration": 47.46, "rotation_down": 59.05, "downward_expansion": 58.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 383.366667, 402.381818, 499.257841, 514.239594 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 407.0, "trend_reference": 481.393078, "distance_from_trend": -0.154537, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 211.159571, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.927452, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.088034, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.988369, "excess_performance": 0.546997, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.154537, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.224836, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.927452, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -2.069423, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.08088, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.214626, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.988369, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.490977, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8038961, "relative_activity": 0.955946, "balance": 0.490977, "dry_up": 1.135355, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.227556, "annualized_volatility": 1.142243, "from_high_reference": -0.593, "from_low_reference": 1.811143 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 481.393078, "fair_value_reference": 211.159571, "structural_low": 196.702415, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.01634, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.019615, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.104651, "worst_return": -0.096345, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.106312, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.071586, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.040141, "worst_return": -0.228758, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.013289, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.063548, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.420193, "worst_return": -0.047414, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"energy": 65.662065, "activity_lines": [ 369.833333, 425.418182, 533.221177, 522.989609 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 398.0, "volume": 12105943, "typical_volume": 9036781.2, "trend": 473.967121, "fair_value": 209.644987, "relative_strength": -6.413579, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.097142, "energy": 63.230168, "activity_lines": [ 373.2, 410.536364, 515.688746, 518.560054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 407.0, "volume": 8038961, "typical_volume": 8409428.6, "trend": 481.393078, "fair_value": 211.159571, "relative_strength": -8.088034, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.125575, "energy": 51.784814, "activity_lines": [ 383.366667, 402.381818, 499.257841, 514.239594 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }