{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b6ad2494-0b6d-48e8-b75f-bd0e7af6e17a", "symbol": "SSNC", "name": "SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.331, "architecture_energy": 65.41, "architecture_maturity": 86.854, "architecture_confidence": 69.476, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.51, "rotation_up": 28.0, "upward_expansion": 18.0, "deceleration": 67.0, "rotation_down": 56.66, "downward_expansion": 74.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 1165.76001, 1165.76001, 1178.543315, 1200.677674 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1165.76001, "trend_reference": 1257.79364, "distance_from_trend": -0.073171, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1312.095879, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.111528, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.091985, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.270069, "excess_performance": -0.215402, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.073171, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102558, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.111528, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045021, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.19092, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.082233, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.270069, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.003107, "annualized_volatility": 0.352729, "from_high_reference": -0.270069, "from_low_reference": 0.000232 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1257.79364, "fair_value_reference": 1312.095879, "structural_low": 1165.48999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": 0.017075, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.131864, "worst_return": -0.22988, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.009828, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.034908, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.132098, "worst_return": -0.229917, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.019662, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.032735, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.052856, "worst_return": -0.24003, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.063668, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.034704, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.019953, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.000169, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": 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-68.664482, "energy": 69.028018, "activity_lines": [ 1165.76001, 1168.284322, 1189.078726, 1224.056083 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1165.76001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 749.65, "trend": 1286.548458, "fair_value": 1310.336146, "relative_strength": -19.897972, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.655838, "energy": 69.006992, "activity_lines": [ 1165.76001, 1166.596538, 1185.21091, 1215.335705 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1165.76001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 749.65, "trend": 1272.171049, "fair_value": 1311.216012, "relative_strength": -19.811996, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.303063, "energy": 65.343108, "activity_lines": [ 1165.76001, 1165.755101, 1181.699106, 1207.542902 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1165.76001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 749.65, "trend": 1257.79364, "fair_value": 1312.095879, "relative_strength": -19.091985, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.3307, "energy": 65.410261, "activity_lines": [ 1165.76001, 1165.76001, 1178.543315, 1200.677674 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }