{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b6affda9-214a-4321-b5ee-82a8f89d11cc", "symbol": "6186", "name": "Shin Ruenn development Co., LTD", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.192, "architecture_energy": 36.616, "architecture_maturity": 27.372, "architecture_confidence": 65.89, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.49, "rotation_up": 10.99, "upward_expansion": 10.63, "deceleration": 56.79, "rotation_down": 60.87, "downward_expansion": 64.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.494148, 36.3302, 36.237292, 36.358971 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 33.25, "trend_reference": 37.147146, "distance_from_trend": -0.104911, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 46.124837, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.27913, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -47.3327, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.188434, "excess_performance": -0.629806, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.104911, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101693, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.27913, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038287, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.473327, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.034176, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.188434, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.748594, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4710688, "relative_activity": 1.048473, "balance": 0.748594, "dry_up": 1.101667, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061828, "annualized_volatility": 0.216346, "from_high_reference": -0.456028, "from_low_reference": 0.009105 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.147146, "fair_value_reference": 46.124837, "structural_low": 32.950001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.019944, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.007141, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.143731, "worst_return": -0.155462, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.022574, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.076566, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.19883, "worst_return": -0.120448, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.04071, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.008864, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.20566, "worst_return": -0.040616, "sufficient": 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-5.770746, "energy": 14.872291, "activity_lines": [ 37.477348, 37.138168, 36.473097, 36.866473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.736446, "volume": 4778577, "typical_volume": 4051277.75, "trend": 37.938943, "fair_value": 46.064994, "relative_strength": -40.276368, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.86068, "energy": 9.656738, "activity_lines": [ 37.248021, 37.146187, 36.525808, 36.759017 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 36.049999, "volume": 7521189, "typical_volume": 4332927.95, "trend": 37.56178, "fair_value": 46.109364, "relative_strength": -41.92016, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.940033, "energy": 15.691368, "activity_lines": [ 36.769298, 37.002936, 36.511464, 36.63715 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 33.25, "volume": 4710688, "typical_volume": 4492903.5, "trend": 37.147146, "fair_value": 46.124837, "relative_strength": -47.3327, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.191598, "energy": 36.615554, "activity_lines": [ 35.494148, 36.3302, 36.237292, 36.358971 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }