{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b6b1b918-2c85-4f0d-ab36-10bec23d73aa", "symbol": "JTS", "name": "Jasmine Technology Solution Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -71.823, "architecture_energy": 67.849, "architecture_maturity": 55.497, "architecture_confidence": 95.976, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.89, "rotation_up": 27.98, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 52.82, "rotation_down": 60.76, "downward_expansion": 87.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.833333, 30.977273, 35.05119, 39.894086 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 29.25, "trend_reference": 45.833333, "distance_from_trend": -0.361818, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 50.473718, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.42049, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.313167, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.455814, "excess_performance": -0.648139, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.361818, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069311, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.42049, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.245554, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.393132, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.246063, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.455814, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.523692, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1570500, "relative_activity": 0.652057, "balance": 0.523692, "dry_up": 1.076206, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.113741, "annualized_volatility": 0.879962, "from_high_reference": -0.687166, "from_low_reference": 0.271739 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 45.833333, "fair_value_reference": 50.473718, "structural_low": 29.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.095541, "positive_rate": 0.296296, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.091985, "regime_survival": 0.851852, "best_return": 0.933761, "worst_return": -0.274194, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.021505, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.012831, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 1.239583, "worst_return": -0.532663, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.194776, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.199645, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.638655, "worst_return": -0.525126, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"activity_lines": [ 33.833333, 36.381818, 41.717857, 45.965591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 30.25, "volume": 5920700, "typical_volume": 4441190.0, "trend": 49.825, "fair_value": 50.435256, "relative_strength": -38.882867, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.200436, "energy": 91.50527, "activity_lines": [ 32.233333, 34.945455, 40.071429, 44.67043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 29.75, "volume": 2484900, "typical_volume": 3412925.0, "trend": 49.05, "fair_value": 50.4625, "relative_strength": -40.053993, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.106246, "energy": 88.797387, "activity_lines": [ 31.0, 33.627273, 38.521429, 43.375269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.5, "volume": 5137400, "typical_volume": 2980080.0, "trend": 47.9, "fair_value": 50.46891, "relative_strength": -38.406347, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.895918, "energy": 80.141673, "activity_lines": [ 30.5, 32.654545, 37.30119, 42.178495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.0, "volume": 1175500, "typical_volume": 2546270.0, "trend": 46.758333, "fair_value": 50.470513, "relative_strength": -38.441406, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.172022, "energy": 69.371731, "activity_lines": [ 30.2, 31.759091, 36.146429, 41.023656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.25, "volume": 1570500, "typical_volume": 2408530.0, "trend": 45.833333, "fair_value": 50.473718, "relative_strength": -39.313167, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.823405, "energy": 67.848506, "activity_lines": [ 29.833333, 30.977273, 35.05119, 39.894086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }